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Premiership
Referee: K Clancy
Celtic
S S S S S
3–2
Full-time
Rangers
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Rangers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,2
3,8
Scored
3,5
3,0
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,8
+2,2
This season — Premiership · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 87%
93%
80%
Points per game
2,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
77%
73%
Both score Ø 52%
50%
53%
Average goals
3,9
3,4
Scored
3,2
2,5
Conceded
0,7
0,9
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%
9 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
5 Offside 3
19 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celtic 1. · Rangers 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 30 28 1 1 +74 85
2 Rangers 30 24 4 2 +47 76
3 Hearts 30 13 6 11 +5 45
4 Aberdeen 30 14 2 14 -5 44
5 St Mirren 30 11 8 11 -8 41
6 Hibernian 30 12 4 14 -3 40
7 Livingston 30 11 6 13 -16 39
8 Motherwell 30 9 6 15 -6 33
9 ST Johnstone 30 9 5 16 -16 32
10 Kilmarnock 30 7 7 16 -26 28
11 Ross County 30 6 6 18 -20 24
12 Dundee United 30 5 7 18 -26 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Jan -23 Rangers – Celtic 2–2 3. Sep -22 Celtic – Rangers 4–0 1. May -22 Celtic – Rangers 1–1 3. Apr -22 Rangers – Celtic 1–2 2. Feb -22 Celtic – Rangers 3–0

Match report

Celtic Rangers
Cameron Carter-Vickers 🟨
8′
1–0 K. Furuhashi ⚽
M. O'Riley
26′
Callum McGregor 🟨
39′
39′
🟨 Nicolas Raskin
Matt O'Riley 🟨
44′
45′
⚽ J. Tavernier 1–1
Half-time 1–1
47′
🟨 Todd Cantwell
Aaron Mooy 🟨
47′
T. Iwata 🔁
↦ A. Mooy
61′
2–1 K. Furuhashi ⚽
Jota
62′
69′
🔁 F. Sakala
↦ M. Tillman
3–1 Jota ⚽
73′
Oh Hyeon-Gyu 🔁
↦ M. ORiley
75′
S. Hakšabanović 🔁
↦ Jota
75′
78′
⚽ J. Tavernier 3–2
B. Barišić
D. Turnbull 🔁
↦ K. Furuhashi
85′
85′
🔁 J. Lundstram
↦ R. Jack
A. Bernabei 🔁
↦ D. Maeda
86′
86′
🔁 S. Wright
↦ T. Cantwell
86′
🔁 A. Čolak
↦ A. Morelos
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Celtic

4-3-3
1 J. Hart G
2 A. Johnston D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
4 C. Starfelt D
3 G. Taylor D
13 A. Mooy M
42 C. McGregor M
33 M. O'Riley M
17 Jota F
8 K. Furuhashi F
38 D. Maeda F
Bench (9)
24 T. Iwata
19 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
9 S. Hakšabanović
14 D. Turnbull
25 A. Bernabei
18 Y. Kobayashi
29 S. Bain
57 S. Welsh
69 R. Vata

Coach: A. Postecoglou

Rangers

4-2-3-1
1 A. McGregor G
2 J. Tavernier D
16 J. Souttar D
26 B. Davies D
31 B. Barišić D
8 R. Jack M
43 N. Raskin M
13 T. Cantwell M
71 M. Tillman M
14 R. Kent M
20 A. Morelos F
Bench (9)
30 F. Sakala
4 J. Lundstram
23 S. Wright
9 A. Čolak
7 I. Hagi
37 S. Arfield
33 J. McLaughlin
3 R. Yılmaz
18 G. Kamara

Coach: M. Beale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,71
🔒
U
4,01
🔒
B
4,43
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,63
🔒
U2,5
2,24
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

K Clancy · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.