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Ligue 1
Referee: M Bollengier
Auxerre
S S S U T
1–1
Full-time
Clermont
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Auxerre Clermont
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 33%
24%
42%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
48%
45%
Both score Ø 54%
55%
52%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,25 xG 1,65
46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Auxerre 15. · Clermont 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 33 24 3 6 +42 +2.3 75
2 Lens 34 21 9 4 +31 +7.1 72
3 Marseille 34 21 7 6 +28 +9.6 70
4 Monaco 34 19 7 8 +17 +4.5 64
5 Lille 34 17 8 9 +19 +12.9 59
6 Rennes 34 17 5 12 +18 +2.4 56
7 Lyon 33 15 8 10 +15 +0.7 53
8 Nice 34 13 12 9 +10 +6.4 51
9 Reims 34 12 14 8 +6 +9.9 50
10 Clermont 33 14 7 12 -7 -0.8 49
11 Lorient 33 13 9 11 +1 -3.9 48
12 Montpellier 33 13 4 16 +0 -0.5 43
13 Toulouse 33 12 5 16 -7 +0.3 41
14 Brest 33 8 11 14 -11 -9.1 35
15 Auxerre 33 8 9 16 -24 -2.5 33
16 Strasbourg 33 7 11 15 -11 +0.9 32
17 Nantes 33 6 14 13 -13 -4.8 32
18 Troyes 33 4 10 19 -29 -18.1 22
19 Ajaccio 33 6 4 23 -39 -4.8 22
20 Angers 34 3 5 26 -46 -12.5 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Auxerre Clermont
1–0 S. Touré
36′
Half-time 1–1
54′
S. Khaoui 1–1
Neto Borges
59′
🔁 M. Zeffane
↦ J. Allevinah
59′
🔁 M. Cham
↦ S. Khaoui
M. Abline 🔁
↦ M. Niang
68′
H. Sakhi 🔁
↦ H. Massengo
68′
J. Jeanvier 🔁
↦ S. Touré
73′
L. Sinayoko 🔁
↦ G. Hein
79′
G. Perrin 🔁
↦ Nuno da Costa
79′
80′
🔁 K. Andrić
↦ G. Kyei
80′
🔁 Jérémie Bela
↦ E. Rashani
Akim Zedadka 🟨
88′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Auxerre

3-4-2-1
1 I. Radu G
97 R. Raveloson D
4 Jubal D
95 S. Touré D
13 A. Zedadka M
80 H. Massengo M
12 B. Touré M
14 G. Mensah M
7 G. Hein F
9 Nuno da Costa F
11 M. Niang F
Bench (9)
19 M. Abline
22 H. Sakhi
27 J. Jeanvier
17 L. Sinayoko
10 G. Perrin
29 M. Autret
16 D. Léon
77 S. Dembélé
6 Y. M'Changama

Coach: C. Pélissier

Clermont

3-4-2-1
99 M. Diaw G
36 A. Seidu D
21 F. Ogier D
5 M. Caufriez D
11 J. Allevinah M
7 Y. Magnin M
25 J. Gastien M
3 Neto Borges M
10 S. Khaoui F
18 E. Rashani F
95 G. Kyei F
Bench (9)
2 M. Zeffane
70 M. Cham
9 K. Andrić
91 Jérémie Bela
15 C. Konaté
13 S. Cissé
97 Y. Massolin
22 A. Maurer
16 L. Margueron

Coach: P. Gastien

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,38
U ✓
3,26
B
3,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,20
U2,5 ✓
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Bollengier · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.