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Bundesliga

Referee: S Ebner

SK Rapid

S T U U U

0–1

Full-time

Salzburg

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SK Rapid Salzburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

1,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

2,8

4,0

Scored

1,3

3,3

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+2,7

This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 57%

33%

80%

Points per game

1,4

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

60%

63%

Both score Ø 62%

73%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,1

Scored

1,6

2,5

Conceded

1,4

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

39% Possession 61%

15 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 10

1 Offside 6

17 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match SK Rapid 3. · Salzburg 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	30	24	4	2	+57	76
2	Sturm Graz	30	16	8	6	+21	56
3	SK Rapid	30	10	11	9	+5	41
4	Wolfsberger AC	30	12	5	13	-9	41
5	Austria Vienna	30	9	13	8	+2	40
6	Tirol	31	10	10	11	-11	40
7	LASK	31	8	12	11	+0	36
8	Ried	31	8	12	11	-14	36
9	A. Klagenfurt	30	8	11	11	-13	35
10	Hartberg	31	7	11	13	-4	32
11	Admira	31	6	13	12	-8	31
12	Altach	31	6	8	17	-26	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	15	14	1	0	+39	43
2	Sturm Graz	15	9	4	2	+12	31
3	Ried	16	6	8	2	+4	26
4	SK Rapid	15	7	4	4	+8	25
5	Wolfsberger AC	15	7	2	6	+0	23
6	Tirol	16	5	7	4	+6	22
7	Austria Vienna	15	5	7	3	+5	22
8	LASK	15	5	5	5	+5	20
9	A. Klagenfurt	15	4	6	5	-8	18
10	Hartberg	15	3	5	7	-2	14
11	Admira	16	3	4	9	-6	13
12	Altach	15	1	6	8	-15	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	15	10	3	2	+18	33
2	Sturm Graz	15	7	4	4	+9	25
3	Hartberg	16	4	6	6	-2	18
4	Admira	15	3	9	3	-2	18
5	Austria Vienna	15	4	6	5	-3	18
6	Wolfsberger AC	15	5	3	7	-9	18
7	Tirol	15	5	3	7	-17	18
8	A. Klagenfurt	15	4	5	6	-5	17
9	Altach	16	5	2	9	-11	17
10	SK Rapid	15	3	7	5	-3	16
11	LASK	16	3	7	6	-5	16
12	Ried	15	2	4	9	-18	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.