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Premiership
Referee: E Anderson
ST Johnstone
T T U S U
1–2
Full-time
Hibernian
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,2
This season — Premiership · 13/12 matches
Win Ø 28%
23%
33%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
23%
58%
Both score Ø 37%
31%
42%
Average goals
1,5
2,6
Scored
0,6
1,3
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
2 Shots 20
0 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 11
1 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match ST Johnstone 9. · Hibernian 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 13 9 3 1 +16 30
2 Celtic 13 8 2 3 +21 26
3 Hearts 14 6 6 2 +9 24
4 Dundee United 14 7 3 4 +1 24
5 Motherwell 14 6 3 5 -2 21
6 St Mirren 14 3 7 4 -6 16
7 Hibernian 12 4 3 5 -1 15
8 Aberdeen 14 4 3 7 -4 15
9 ST Johnstone 13 3 5 5 -4 14
10 Livingston 13 3 4 6 -6 13
11 Dundee 13 2 4 7 -16 10
12 Ross County 13 2 3 8 -8 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

ST Johnstone Hibernian
Craig Bryson 🟨
27′
0–1 R. Porteous
own goal
40′
Half-time 0–1
Craig Bryson 🟨
46′
Craig Bryson 🟥
46′
C. MacPherson 🔁
↦ E. Vertainen
46′
Murray Davidson 🟨
56′
61′
🔁 J. Murphy
↦ P. McGinn
71′
🔁 S. Allan
↦ J. Gullan
J. Brown 🔁
↦ S. Rooney
75′
77′
🔁 J. Scott
↦ J. Doyle-Hayes
James Brown 🟨
81′
83′
K. Nisbet 0–2
J. Murphy
85′
🟨 Josh Campbell
86′
J. Murphy 0–3
S. Allan
V. Solomon-Otabor 🔁
↦ M. Davidson
87′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

3-4-2-1
1 Z. Clark G
24 C. Booth M
19 S. Rooney M
6 L. Gordon D
4 J. Mccart D
5 L. Dendoncker D
13 C. Bryson M
8 M. Davidson M
21 A. Crawford F
11 M. O'Halloran F
17 E. Vertainen F
Bench (7)
18 C. MacPherson
2 J. Brown
27 V. Solomon-Otabor
26 L. Craig
25 E. Ambrose
12 E. Parish
3 R. Devine

Coach: C. Davidson

Hibernian

3-4-1-2
1 M. Macey G
4 P. Hanlon D
6 P. McGinn D
27 C. Cadden M
5 R. Porteous D
3 J. Doig M
11 J. Newell M
22 J. Doyle-Hayes M
32 J. Campbell F
15 K. Nisbet F
19 J. Gullan F
Bench (7)
18 J. Murphy
23 S. Allan
25 J. Scott
8 D. Wright
13 A. Gogić
16 L. Stevenson
21 M. Dąbrowski

Coach: J. Ross

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,74
U
3,12
B ✓
2,66
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,34
U2,5
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Anderson · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.