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Premiership
Referee: B Madden
Dundee
U T T U U
1–1
Full-time
ST Johnstone
T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,3
This season — Premiership · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 18%
15%
21%
Points per game
0,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
55%
36%
Both score Ø 42%
45%
39%
Average goals
2,6
2,0
Scored
0,9
0,6
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
10 Shots 18
1 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 7
16 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee 12. · ST Johnstone 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 33 26 4 3 +59 82
2 Rangers 34 24 7 3 +42 79
3 Hearts 33 16 9 8 +15 57
4 Dundee United 33 10 11 12 -6 41
5 Ross County 33 10 10 13 -7 40
6 Motherwell 34 10 10 14 -14 40
7 Hibernian 33 9 11 13 -6 38
8 Livingston 33 10 8 15 -8 38
9 Aberdeen 33 9 9 15 -4 36
10 St Mirren 33 8 12 13 -20 36
11 ST Johnstone 33 7 9 17 -23 30
12 Dundee 33 5 10 18 -28 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dundee ST Johnstone
1–0 J. Marshall
P. McGowan
10′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 T. Sang
↦ D. Cleary
L. McCowan 🔁
↦ P. McMullan
52′
Charlie Adam 🟨
54′
65′
🔁 C. MacPherson
↦ A. Crawford
68′
S. Rooney 1–1
M. Hallberg
Z. Rudden 🔁
↦ S. Byrne
74′
N. McGinn 🔁
↦ P. McGowan
75′
J. Mulligan 🔁
↦ M. Anderson
81′
81′
🔁 S. May
↦ N. Çiftçi
87′
🟨 Cameron MacPherson
94′
🟨 Jamie McCart
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Dundee

4-5-1
21 I. Lawlor G
6 J. McGhee D
2 C. Kerr D
5 R. Sweeney D
3 J. Marshall D
26 C. Adam M
10 P. McGowan M
8 S. Byrne M
18 P. McMullan M
24 M. Anderson M
9 D. Mullen F
Bench (9)
17 L. McCowan
20 Z. Rudden
77 N. McGinn
15 J. Mulligan
35 Z. Rossi
11 D. McDaid
4 L. Fontaine
16 C. Elliott
30 H. Sharp

Coach: J. McPake

ST Johnstone

3-4-1-2
1 Z. Clark G
24 C. Booth M
5 D. Cleary D
19 S. Rooney M
6 L. Gordon D
4 J. Mccart D
8 M. Davidson M
21 A. Crawford F
29 M. Hallberg M
23 N. Çiftçi F
22 C. Hendry F
Bench (9)
27 T. Sang
18 C. MacPherson
7 S. May
12 E. Parish
2 J. Brown
16 J. Mahon
34 J. Butterfield
17 T. Bair
14 G. Middleton

Coach: C. Davidson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,65
U ✓
2,95
B
2,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,70
U2,5 ✓
1,45
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Madden · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.