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Premiership
Referee: C Napier
Dundee
U U U T T
3–1
Full-time
Hibernian
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 21%
14%
28%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
44%
39%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,9
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

35% Possession 65%
14 Shots 16
9 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 8
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 6
3 Offside 6
15 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee 12. · Hibernian 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 36 28 5 3 +64 89
2 Rangers 36 25 8 3 +44 83
3 Hearts 36 17 10 9 +13 61
4 Livingston 36 12 9 15 -6 45
5 Dundee United 36 11 11 14 -8 44
6 Motherwell 36 11 10 15 -14 43
7 Hibernian 36 10 12 14 -6 42
8 St Mirren 36 10 12 14 -18 42
9 Ross County 36 10 11 15 -10 41
10 Aberdeen 36 10 10 16 -4 40
11 ST Johnstone 36 7 11 18 -24 32
12 Dundee 36 5 11 20 -31 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Mar -22 Dundee – Hibernian 0–0 14. Dec -21 Hibernian – Dundee 1–0 22. Aug -21 Dundee – Hibernian 2–2

Match report

Dundee Hibernian
1–0 N. McGinn ⚽
3′
Josh Mulligan 🟨
24′
29′
⚽ J. Scott 1–1
30′
🟨 Lewis Stevenson
38′
🟨 Rocky Bushiri Kiranga
Half-time 1–1
Jordan McGhee 🟨
48′
L. McCowan 🔁
↦ P. McMullan
61′
C. Adam 🔁
↦ S. Byrne
61′
61′
🔁 S. Jasper
↦ E. Henderson
2–1 J. Mulligan ⚽
L. McCowan
67′
73′
🔁 E. Melkersen
↦ J. Campbell
74′
🔁 J. Doyle-Hayes
↦ R. Porteous
3–1 C. Adam ⚽
86′
87′
🟨 Joe Newell
L. Fontaine 🔁
↦ Z. Rudden
94′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Dundee

4-1-4-1
30 H. Sharp G
6 J. McGhee D
2 C. Kerr D
5 R. Sweeney D
3 J. Marshall D
8 S. Byrne M
18 P. McMullan M
24 M. Anderson M
15 J. Mulligan M
77 N. McGinn M
20 Z. Rudden F
Bench (8)
17 L. McCowan
26 C. Adam
4 L. Fontaine
22 V. Daley-Campbell
10 P. McGowan
12 J. Chapman
19 F. Robertson
41 T. Welsh

Coach: J. McPake

Hibernian

4-2-3-1
1 M. Macey G
16 L. Stevenson M
6 P. McGinn D
5 R. Porteous D
2 H. Clarke M
33 R. Bushiri D
3 J. Doig D
11 J. Newell M
80 E. Henderson M
32 J. Campbell M
25 J. Scott F
Bench (9)
20 S. Jasper
34 E. Melkersen
22 J. Doyle-Hayes
30 R. Hauge
36 A. Delferriere
43 E. Laidlaw
21 M. Dąbrowski
24 D. McGregor
47 M. Aiken

Coach: S. Maloney

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,41
🔒
U
3,09
🔒
B
2,26
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,47
🔒
U2,5
1,53
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Napier · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.