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2. Bundesliga
Darmstadt
T T S S T
3–0
Full-time
Paderborn
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Darmstadt Paderborn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
4,5
2,2
Scored
2,5
1,7
Conceded
2,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 46%
52%
39%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
67%
58%
Both score Ø 61%
58%
64%
Average goals
3,5
2,9
Scored
2,1
1,7
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

12 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 4
1 Corners 4
18 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Darmstadt 4. · Paderborn 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Schalke 04 33 19 5 9 +27 62
2 Werder Bremen 33 17 9 7 +20 60
3 Hamburg 33 15 12 6 +31 57
4 Darmstadt 33 17 6 10 +22 57
5 St Pauli 33 15 9 9 +13 54
6 Paderborn 33 13 12 8 +15 51
7 Nurnberg 33 14 9 10 +1 51
8 Heidenheim 33 14 7 12 -4 49
9 Holstein Kiel 33 12 9 12 -6 45
10 Fortuna Dusseldorf 33 11 11 11 +5 44
11 Karlsruhe 33 9 14 10 +1 41
12 Hansa Rostock 33 10 11 12 -10 41
13 Regensburg 33 10 10 13 +1 40
14 Hannover 33 10 9 14 -15 39
15 Sandhausen 33 9 11 13 -14 38
16 Dresden 33 7 11 15 -12 32
17 Erzgebirge Aue 33 5 8 20 -41 23
18 Ingolstadt 33 4 9 20 -34 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,45
U
5,09
B
5,68
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,30
U2,5
3,42
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.