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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: O Ekeli Valen
Start
S U T S S
5–1
Full-time
Sogndal
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Start Sogndal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
1,8
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,5
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
60%
60%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
3,4
2,0
Scored
2,4
1,4
Conceded
1,0
0,6
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Start 4. · Sogndal 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mjondalen 6 5 1 0 +6 16
2 Brann 5 3 2 0 +9 11
3 Sogndal 5 3 2 0 +4 11
4 Start 5 3 1 1 +7 10
5 Stabaek 5 3 1 1 +5 10
6 Sandnes ULF 4 3 0 1 -1 9
7 Fredrikstad 5 2 2 1 +3 8
8 KFUM Oslo 5 2 2 1 -1 8
9 Ranheim 5 2 1 2 -3 7
10 Raufoss 5 1 3 1 +0 6
11 Kongsvinger 4 1 1 2 -1 4
12 Grorud 5 0 3 2 -4 3
13 Asane 5 0 3 2 -8 3
14 Stjørdals-Blink 5 0 2 3 -4 2
15 Skeid 5 0 0 5 -5 0
16 Bryne 6 0 0 6 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Start Sogndal
1–0 K. Tønnessen
4′
8′
🔁 E. Lereng
↦ H. Gunnarsson
24′
🟨 J. Jonsson
2–0 J. Braut Brunes
36′
Half-time 2–0
B. Ndong 🟨
48′
3–0 J. Braut Brunes
48′
50′
🔁 P. Michael
↦ M. Roseth
O. Fallenius 🟨
64′
68′
V. Ingimundarson 3–1
E. Schulze 🟨
69′
K. Valsvik 🔁
↦ A. Sanyang
70′
K. Tonnesen 🟨
72′
4–1 J. Braut Brunes
74′
H. Robstad 🔁
↦ K. Tønnessen
83′
C. Cresswell 🔁
↦ E. Schulze
83′
J. Gregersen 🔁
↦ E. Derviskadic
83′
83′
🔁 E. Flataker
↦ K. Hoven
5–1 Basilio Ndong
87′
M. Grundetjern 🔁
↦ J. Braut Brunes
88′
J. Gregersen 🟨
93′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Start

96 M. Jensen
4 V. Wormgoor
22 K. Tønnessen
14 L. Mares
30 Basilio Ndong
11 E. Schulze
21 S. Sjøkvist
7 E. Derviskadic
9 J. Braut Brunes
10 A. Sanyang
16 O. Fallenius
Bench (9)
8 K. Valsvik
15 H. Robstad
20 C. Cresswell
49 J. Gregersen
23 M. Grundetjern
3 V. Bergan
5 P. Reinhardsen
18 J. Tveita
1 J. Torkildsen

Coach: S. Tjelmeland

Sogndal

1 R. Fij
5 H. Gunnarsson
4 M. Roseth
26 A. van der Spa
17 M. Blårud
7 J. Jónsson
8 V. Ingimundarson
11 A. Hoven
19 U. Mathisen
27 S. Ørjasæter
18 K. Hoven
Bench (6)
16 E. Lereng
14 P. Michael
30 E. Flataker
23 A. Nord
29 K. Steinset
35 D. Saetren

Coach: T. Flo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.