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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Livingston
S T S S S
1–0
Full-time
Motherwell
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,7
1,7
Scored
2,5
0,8
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,0
This season — Premiership · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 46%
35%
57%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
61%
61%
Both score Ø 48%
52%
43%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

16 Shots 1
7 Shots on target 0
14 Corners 1
11 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Livingston 5. · Motherwell 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 23 20 1 2 +50 61
2 Rangers 22 18 2 2 +44 56
3 Motherwell 23 13 2 8 +7 41
4 Aberdeen 23 10 7 6 +3 37
5 Livingston 23 8 7 8 +4 31
6 Hibernian 23 7 8 8 -6 29
7 Kilmarnock 23 6 5 12 -10 23
8 ST Johnstone 22 5 8 9 -21 23
9 Ross County 23 5 7 11 -25 22
10 St Mirren 23 5 5 13 -13 20
11 Hamilton 23 4 6 13 -17 18
12 Hearts 23 3 8 12 -16 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Nov -19 Motherwell – Livingston 2–1 3. Aug -19 Livingston – Motherwell 0–0

Match report

Livingston Motherwell
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 B. Mugabi
↦ J. Hylton
46′
🔁 C. Manzinga
↦ C. Ilic
Lyndon Dykes 🟨
56′
Marvin Bartley 🟨
56′
67′
🔁 M. O'Hara
↦ L. Polworth
1–0 A. Taylor-Sinclair ⚽
C. Brown
67′
70′
🟨 Richard Tait
89′
🟨 Mark O'Hara
90′
🟨 Jake Carroll
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Livingston

4-4-2
1 R. McCrorie G
29 A. Taylor-Sinclair D
27 J. Guthrie D
21 J. McMillan D
3 C. Brown D
17 S. Robinson M
6 M. Bartley M
10 C. Sibbald M
11 S. Lawless M
8 S. Pittman M
9 L. Dykes F
Bench (7)
7 K. Jacobs
4 A. Lithgow
40 G. Maley
20 A. Souda
33 S. Lawson
16 R. Crawford
5 R. Lamie

Coach: G. Holt

Motherwell

4-4-2
20 M. Gillespie G
5 P. Hartley D
2 R. Tait D
31 D. Gallagher D
3 J. Carroll D
22 L. Donnelly D
19 L. Polworth M
14 J. Hylton F
6 A. Campbell M
9 C. Long F
16 C. Ilic M
Bench (7)
24 B. Mugabi
12 C. Manzinga
52 M. O'Hara
4 L. Grimshaw
1 T. Carson
37 R. MacIver
11 S. Seedorf

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,30
🔒
U
3,26
🔒
B
3,09
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,12
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,71
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.