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Conference League
Referee: Allard Lindhout
AEK
T T S U U
3–1
Full-time
Aris
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Aris
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,8
3,5
Scored
0,7
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
This season — Conference League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,7
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Aug -25 Aris – AEK 2–2 9. Mar -25 Aris – AEK 0–0 30. Nov -24 AEK – Aris 4–0 21. Apr -24 Aris – AEK 1–2 14. Apr -24 AEK – Aris 2–0

Match report

AEK Aris
4′
🔁 R. Ljubicic
↦ R. Pereyra
21′
🟨 Adam Markhiev
Orbelín Pineda 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
J. Montnor 🔁
↦ R. McCausland
46′
46′
🔁 S. Pilios
↦ J. Penrice
1–0 R. Marin ⚽
51′
62′
⚽ G. Kvilitaia 1–1
Caju 🔁
↦ Anderson Correia
65′
A. Kokorin 🔁
↦ A. Kakoullis
65′
73′
🔁 M. Gacinovic
↦ F. Pierrot
73′
🔁 A. Koita
↦ O. Pineda
R. Effaghe 🔁
↦ G. Kvilitaia
77′
79′
🟨 Connor Goldson
85′
🔁 D. Kutesa
↦ P. Mantalos
D. Gaustad 🔁
↦ M. Mayambela
89′
100′
🔁 L. Jovic
↦ Zini
2–1 D. Kutesa ⚽
104′
3–1 L. Jovic ⚽
D. Kutesa
109′
110′
🟨 Charalampos Charalampous
Y. Bourhane 🔁
↦ C. Charalampous
118′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

AEK

5-3-2
1 Vana Alves
20 S. Yago
27 L. Balogun
6 C. Goldson
7 Anderson Correia
8 A. Markhiev
76 C. Charalampous
10 M. Mayambela
11 G. Kvilitaia
45 R. McCausland
80 A. Kakoullis
Bench (10)
26 A. Pishias
90 E. Sofroniou
3 Caju
9 A. Kokorin
15 A. Loucoubar
17 M. Matysik
18 Y. Bourhane
29 D. Gaustad
66 J. Montnor
99 R. Effaghe

Coach: Marko Nikolić

Aris

4-4-2
1 T. Strakosha
12 L. Rota
2 H. Moukoudi
44 F. Relvas
29 J. Penrice
13 O. Pineda
20 P. Mantalos
37 R. Pereyra
18 R. Marin
90 Zini
14 F. Pierrot
Bench (12)
81 A. Angelopoulos
91 A. Brignoli
3 S. Pilios
6 J. Jonsson
7 D. Kutesa
8 M. Gacinovic
9 L. Jovic
11 A. Koita
21 D. Vida
23 R. Ljubicic
34 C. Kosidis
73 C. Kolimatsis

Coach: Artem Radkov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Allard Lindhout · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.