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Super League
Aris
S T S T U
0–1
Full-time
Panathinaikos
U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
83%
0%
Average goals
3,3
1,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
This season — Super League · 28/30 matches
Win Ø 57%
43%
70%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
57%
23%
Both score Ø 33%
39%
27%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
1,0
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

6 Shots 10
0 Shots on target 2
5 Corners 4
22 Free kicks against 16
5 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aris 7. · Panathinaikos 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 31 23 3 5 +44 72
2 Panathinaikos 30 21 6 3 +28 69
3 Olympiakos 31 18 10 3 +42 64
4 PAOK 31 18 10 3 +30 64
5 Volos NFC 31 12 7 12 -12 43
6 Aris Thessalonikis 28 12 5 11 +13 41
7 Aris 28 12 5 11 +13 41
8 Atromitos 30 8 10 12 -3 34
9 Panetolikos 30 8 8 14 -14 32
10 OFI Crete 30 7 10 13 -13 31
11 Asteras Tripolis 30 5 13 12 -16 28
12 Lamia 30 5 11 14 -32 26
13 Ionikos 30 6 6 18 -27 24
14 Giannina 30 4 11 15 -26 23
15 Levadeiakos 30 3 11 16 -27 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,21
U
2,94
B ✓
2,38
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,69
U2,5 ✓
1,43
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.