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Super League
Referee: T Bognár
0–1
Full-time
Panathinaikos
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
83%
0%
Average goals
3,3
0,8
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,3
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
This season — Super League · 28/31 matches
Win Ø 57%
43%
71%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
57%
23%
Both score Ø 33%
39%
26%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
1,0
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
6 Shots 10
0 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
22 Free kicks against 16
5 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 6. · Panathinaikos 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 31 23 3 5 +44 72
2 Panathinaikos 31 22 6 3 +29 72
3 Olympiakos 31 18 10 3 +42 64
4 PAOK 31 18 10 3 +30 64
5 Volos NFC 31 12 7 12 -12 43
6 Aris Thessalonikis 28 12 5 11 +13 41
7 Aris 29 12 5 12 +12 41
8 Atromitos 30 8 10 12 -3 34
9 Panetolikos 30 8 8 14 -14 32
10 OFI Crete 30 7 10 13 -13 31
11 Asteras Tripolis 30 5 13 12 -16 28
12 Lamia 30 5 11 14 -32 26
13 Ionikos 30 6 6 18 -27 24
14 Giannina 30 4 11 15 -26 23
15 Levadeiakos 30 3 11 16 -27 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aris Thessalonikis Panathinaikos
12′
🟨 Facundo Sánchez
Moses Odubajo 🟨
27′
Half-time 0–0
C. Doukouré 🔁
↦ M. García
46′
60′
🔁 A. Šporar
↦ F. Ioannidis
60′
🔁 D. Mancini
↦ L. Kleinheisler
62′
🟨 Zvonimir Šarlija
Aboubakar Kamara 🟨
63′
L. Christodoulopoulos 🔁
↦ J. Iturbe
69′
Rafael Camacho 🔁
↦ L. Palma
69′
69′
A. Šporar 0–1
Z. Šarlija
70′
🔁 Bernard
↦ S. Palacios
Fabiano 🟨
73′
75′
🟨 Juankar
Rafael Camacho 🟨
78′
A. Gray 🔁
↦ O. Etebo
79′
M. Peersman 🔁
↦ B. Mazikou
86′
Aboubakar Kamara 🟨
92′
Aboubakar Kamara 🟥
92′
92′
🔁 H. Magnússon
↦ A. Čerin
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Aris Thessalonikis

99 M. Siampanis G
22 M. Odubajo D
4 Fabiano D
14 J. Brabec D
18 B. Mazikou D
10 M. García M
16 V. Darida M
13 O. Etebo M
11 J. Iturbe M
17 L. Palma F
47 A. Kamara F
Bench (9)
8 C. Doukouré
7 L. Christodoulopoulos
64 Rafael Camacho
9 A. Gray
43 M. Peersman
2 S. M'Bakata
6 B. Dabo
23 Julián
3 N. Nkoulou

Panathinaikos

4-1-4-1
12 Y. Lodygin G
14 F. Sánchez D
5 B. Schenkeveld D
31 Z. Šarlija D
3 Juan Carlos D
4 Rubén Pérez M
34 S. Palacios M
16 A. Čerin M
21 D. Kourbelis M
8 L. Kleinheisler M
7 F. Ioannidis F
Bench (9)
9 A. Šporar
17 D. Mancini
10 Bernard
23 H. Magnússon
18 E. Çokaj
6 T. Puchacz
2 G. Vagiannidis
77 B. Verbič
55 G. Sourdis

Coach: I. Jovanović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Bognár · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.