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Super League
Referee: D Karantonis
AEK
T S S S S
2–1
Full-time
Atromitos
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Atromitos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — Super League · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 47%
65%
29%
Points per game
2,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
47%
41%
Both score Ø 44%
47%
41%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
14 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 2
4 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 2. · Atromitos 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 18 15 3 0 +38 48
2 AEK 17 11 3 3 +11 36
3 PAOK 18 10 5 3 +16 35
4 Aris Thessalonikis 17 10 3 4 +11 33
5 Aris 17 10 3 4 +11 33
6 Panathinaikos 19 9 4 6 +6 31
7 Asteras Tripolis 18 6 6 6 -3 24
8 Atromitos 17 5 7 5 -5 22
9 Volos NFC 19 4 8 7 -9 20
10 OFI Crete 18 5 4 9 -11 19
11 Apollon 17 5 3 9 -4 18
12 Giannina 19 3 8 8 -5 17
13 Panetolikos 18 2 5 11 -14 11
14 Lamia 17 2 3 12 -21 9
15 Larisa 17 1 5 11 -21 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AEK Atromitos
Levi García 🟨
35′
39′
🟨 Stefanos Stroungis
40′
🔁 J. Tomašević
↦ K. Kivrakidis
Half-time 0–0
Marko Livaja 🟨
46′
60′
🟨 Juan Muñiz
61′
🔁 K. Kotsopoulos
↦ B. Rabello
61′
🔁 L. Christodoulopoulos
↦ G. Manousos
62′
🟨 Patrick Salomon
1–0 Nélson Oliveira
63′
65′
🟨 Rodrigo Galo
2–0 M. Livaja
M. Bakakis
73′
75′
🔁 J. Umbides
↦ Rodrigo Galo
75′
🔁 A. Agayev
↦ Juan Muñiz
K. Galanopoulos 🔁
↦ P. Mandalos
78′
79′
🟨 Dimitris Goutas
M. Tankovic 🔁
↦ L. Garcia
81′
D. Szymański 🔁
↦ André Simões
82′
89′
L. Christodoulopoulos 2–1
T. Macheras 🔁
↦ M. Livaja
95′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

AEK

4-2-3-1
30 G. Athanasiadis G
2 M. Bakakis D
22 Emanuel Insúa D
24 E. Svarnas D
15 Ž. Laci D
28 Y. Shakhov M
20 P. Mandalos M
8 André Simões M
18 Nélson Oliveira F
10 M. Livaja F
9 L. Garcia F
Bench (9)
25 K. Galanopoulos
17 M. Tankovic
4 D. Szymański
53 T. Macheras
1 P. Tsintotas
14 C. Albanis
44 A. Šabanadžović
37 V. Radonja
3 Hélder Lopes

Coach: Manolo Jiménez

Atromitos

4-3-3
35 C. Mandas G
12 Rodrigo Galo D
19 K. Kivrakidis D
4 D. Goutas D
29 S. Stroungis D
21 P. Salomon M
14 Juan Muñiz M
6 C. Charisis M
16 S. Natsos M
9 G. Manousos F
10 B. Rabello M
Bench (9)
50 J. Tomašević
23 K. Kotsopoulos
77 L. Christodoulopoulos
8 J. Umbides
11 A. Agayev
27 G. Ntaviotis
13 C. Theodorakis
18 I. Oikonomidis
17 A. Trimmatis

Coach: D. Canadi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,50
U
3,96
B
6,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,10
U2,5
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Karantonis · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
32,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.