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Super League
Aris
S U S T S
1–3
Full-time
AEK
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,8
This season — Super League · 28/30 matches
Win Ø 54%
57%
50%
Points per game
1,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
32%
47%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
1,9
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

6 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 7
5 Corners 2
14 Free kicks against 22
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aris 3. · AEK 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 31 25 5 1 +58 80
2 Aris Thessalonikis 28 16 6 6 +19 54
3 Aris 28 16 6 6 +19 54
4 Panathinaikos 30 15 7 8 +14 52
5 PAOK 30 14 9 7 +21 51
6 AEK 30 15 6 9 +5 51
7 Asteras Tripolis 31 12 10 9 -2 46
8 Volos NFC 31 9 11 11 -7 38
9 Giannina 30 9 9 12 -3 36
10 Apollon 31 8 6 17 -13 30
11 Atromitos 31 6 12 13 -16 30
12 Lamia 30 7 9 14 -21 30
13 OFI Crete 31 6 6 19 -24 24
14 Larisa 31 5 8 18 -25 23
15 Panetolikos 31 4 10 17 -25 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,14
U
2,98
B ✓
3,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,28
U2,5
1,61
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.