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Süper Lig

Referee: T Numanoğlu

Samsunspor

T S U S U

0–2

Full-time

Galatasaray

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Samsunspor Galatasaray

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,0

3,5

Scored

1,3

2,7

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 57%

30%

83%

Points per game

1,1

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

43%

61%

Both score Ø 57%

61%

52%

Average goals

2,6

2,7

Scored

1,2

2,1

Conceded

1,4

0,6

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,08 xG 1,80

45% Possession 55%

17 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 5

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Samsunspor 15. · Galatasaray 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	23	19	3	1	+43	+42.9	60
2	Galatasaray	23	19	3	1	+34	+31.5	60
3	Trabzonspor	23	11	4	8	+7	-2.5	37
4	Besiktas	23	11	3	9	+2	+9.8	36
5	Rizespor	23	10	5	8	-6	-4.4	35
6	Antalyaspor	23	8	10	5	+6	+3.2	34
7	Kasimpasa	23	9	5	9	-4	-8.3	32
8	Ad. Demirspor	23	7	10	6	+7	-1.4	31
9	Buyuksehyr	23	8	6	9	+1	-3.7	30
10	Kayserispor	23	8	6	9	-5	-6.9	30
11	Sivasspor	24	7	9	8	-7	-5.1	30
12	Ankaragücü	24	6	11	7	+2	-2.7	29
13	Hatayspor	24	6	10	8	-1	-0.4	28
14	Alanyaspor	23	6	9	8	-7	+3.9	27
15	Samsunspor	23	7	5	11	-6	+2.5	26
16	Karagumruk	24	6	6	12	-1	-10.3	24
17	Gaziantep	23	6	5	12	-9	-10.9	23
18	Pendikspor	23	5	8	10	-17	-8.1	23
19	Konyaspor	23	4	9	10	-14	-12.9	21
20	İstanbulspor	23	3	5	15	-25	-16.3	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	12	12	0	0	+21	+22.8	36
2	Fenerbahce	12	9	2	1	+23	+23.0	29
3	Rizespor	12	8	2	2	+7	+5.2	26
4	Ad. Demirspor	12	7	3	2	+13	+5.0	24
5	Antalyaspor	12	5	6	1	+4	+1.5	21
6	Besiktas	11	6	2	3	+5	+6.2	20
7	Samsunspor	11	6	2	3	+5	+4.0	20
8	Karagumruk	12	5	4	3	+10	-1.3	19
9	Kayserispor	12	5	4	3	+4	+1.5	19
10	Trabzonspor	11	6	1	4	+1	+1.0	19
11	Hatayspor	12	4	6	2	+4	-0.6	18
12	Ankaragücü	13	4	6	3	+3	+3.4	18
13	Buyuksehyr	11	5	2	4	+4	-3.1	17
14	Alanyaspor	12	4	5	3	+1	+4.1	17
15	Kasimpasa	11	5	2	4	-1	-4.6	17
16	Sivasspor	11	2	7	2	-1	+1.9	13
17	Konyaspor	11	3	3	5	+0	-0.7	12
18	Gaziantep	11	3	3	5	-4	-5.9	12
19	Pendikspor	11	3	3	5	-7	-6.1	12
20	İstanbulspor	12	2	3	7	-12	-9.8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	11	10	1	0	+20	+19.8	31
2	Galatasaray	11	7	3	1	+13	+8.7	24
3	Trabzonspor	12	5	3	4	+6	-3.4	18
4	Sivasspor	13	5	2	6	-6	-7.0	17
5	Besiktas	12	5	1	6	-3	+3.6	16
6	Kasimpasa	12	4	3	5	-3	-3.7	15
7	Antalyaspor	11	3	4	4	+2	+1.7	13
8	Buyuksehyr	12	3	4	5	-3	-0.6	13
9	Ankaragücü	11	2	5	4	-1	-6.2	11
10	Gaziantep	12	3	2	7	-5	-5.0	11
11	Kayserispor	11	3	2	6	-9	-8.4	11
12	Pendikspor	12	2	5	5	-10	-2.0	11
13	Hatayspor	12	2	4	6	-5	+0.1	10
14	Alanyaspor	11	2	4	5	-8	-0.2	10
15	Rizespor	11	2	3	6	-13	-9.6	9
16	Konyaspor	12	1	6	5	-14	-12.2	9
17	Ad. Demirspor	11	0	7	4	-6	-6.4	7
18	Samsunspor	12	1	3	8	-11	-1.5	6
19	Karagumruk	12	1	2	9	-11	-9.0	5
20	İstanbulspor	11	1	2	8	-13	-6.5	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.