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Süper Lig
Referee: Y Kol
Eyüpspor
U T T T T
1–2
Full-time
Samsunspor
T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eyüpspor Samsunspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
0%
83%
Average goals
1,2
3,7
Scored
0,2
1,5
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 24%
18%
29%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
39%
46%
Both score Ø 50%
39%
61%
Average goals
2,1
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,45 xG 0,96
30% Possession 70%
9 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 14
5 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eyüpspor 17. · Samsunspor 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 29 21 5 3 +45 +29.4 68
2 Fenerbahce 29 19 9 1 +38 +30.2 66
3 Trabzonspor 29 19 7 3 +25 +8.3 64
4 Besiktas 29 16 7 6 +19 +24.6 55
5 Buyuksehyr 29 13 8 8 +17 +6.0 47
6 Goztep 29 12 11 6 +10 +8.9 47
7 Samsunspor 28 8 12 8 -5 +6.7 36
8 Kocaelispor 29 9 8 12 -9 -3.7 35
9 Konyaspor 29 8 10 11 -5 -1.6 34
10 Gaziantep 28 8 10 10 -10 -3.5 34
11 Alanyaspor 29 6 15 8 +1 -8.6 33
12 Rizespor 28 8 9 11 -2 +0.6 33
13 Kasimpasa 29 6 10 13 -13 -13.0 28
14 Antalyaspor 29 7 7 15 -17 -21.5 28
15 Genclerbirligi 29 6 7 16 -14 -17.3 25
16 Kayserispor 29 4 11 14 -33 -13.1 23
17 Eyüpspor 28 5 7 16 -22 -18.6 22
18 Karagumruk 29 5 5 19 -25 -13.9 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eyüpspor Samsunspor
8′
🟨 Emre Kilinc
Denis Radu 🟨
9′
1–0 M. Altunbas
45′
Half-time 1–0
Denis Radu 🟨
61′
Denis Radu 🟥
61′
Mateusz Łęgowski 🟨
66′
69′
🔁 A. Sousa
↦ O. Ntcham
70′
🔁 T. Coulibaly
↦ Y. Kayan
A. Torres 🔁
↦ Lucas Calegari
75′
76′
Marius 1–1
L. Tomasson
L. Pintor 🔁
↦ C. Raux Yao
78′
83′
🔁 Z. Yavru
↦ J. Mendes
83′
🔁 T. Borevkovic
↦ Y. E. Cift
I. Taskin 🔁
↦ M. Legowski
84′
A. K. Sy 🔁
↦ M. Altunbas
84′
90′
A. Sousa 1–2
E. Kilinc
Seyfettin Anıl Yaşar 🟨
95′
95′
🟨 Afonso Sousa
95′
🟨 Marius Mouandilmadji
Taskin Ilter 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Eyüpspor

4-4-1-1
1 Marcos Felipe G
17 T. Ulvan D
4 Luccas Claro D
16 A. Yasar D
77 U. Meras D
2 Lucas Calegari M
20 M. Legowski M
55 B. A. Gezek M
22 D. Radu M
15 C. Raux Yao F
26 M. Altunbas F
Bench (10)
24 J. Yilmaz
28 I. Taskin
68 J. Onguene
23 L. Pintor
10 A. Torres
88 A. Yavuz
42 B. K. Satli
27 I. Manga
14 D. Ndoye
25 A. K. Sy

Coach: Orhan Ak

Samsunspor

4-3-3
1 O. Kocuk G
2 J. Mendes D
55 Y. E. Cift D
4 R. Van Drongelen D
17 L. Tomasson D
20 Y. Kayan M
29 A. Makoumbou M
10 O. Ntcham M
11 E. Kilinc F
9 Marius F
19 C. Ndiaye F
Bench (10)
48 E. B. Toruz
33 E. Ustun
18 Z. Yavru
28 S. Gonul
24 T. Borevkovic
7 E. Tavsan
70 T. Coulibaly
77 A. Sousa
23 E. Albak
15 A. B. Diabbate

Coach: Thorsten Fink

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,99
U
3,35
B ✓
1,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,96
U2,5
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Y Kol · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.