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Süper Lig

Referee: Y Kol

Fenerbahce

S S S U S

0–1

Full-time

Besiktas

S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Besiktas

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,2

2,7

Scored

2,8

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 60%

74%

45%

Points per game

2,4

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

71%

42%

Both score Ø 62%

58%

65%

Average goals

3,6

2,6

Scored

2,6

1,5

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,6

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,65 xG 1,69

62% Possession 38%

17 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

8 Corners 5

5 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 20

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fenerbahce 2. · Besiktas 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	32	26	5	1	+51	+36.1	83
2	Fenerbahce	31	23	6	2	+49	+40.6	75
3	Samsunspor	33	17	6	10	+12	+6.6	57
4	Besiktas	31	14	10	7	+16	+19.6	52
5	Buyuksehyr	32	15	6	11	+9	+4.7	51
6	Eyüpspor	33	14	8	11	+8	+0.1	50
7	Trabzonspor	31	12	9	10	+13	+0.2	45
8	Goztep	31	11	10	10	+12	+19.4	43
9	Konyaspor	33	12	7	14	-4	-1.7	43
10	Antalyaspor	32	12	7	13	-20	-15.6	43
11	Kasimpasa	31	10	12	9	-2	+0.8	42
12	Gaziantep	32	12	6	14	-4	-12.8	42
13	Kayserispor	32	10	11	11	-10	-2.1	41
14	Rizespor	32	12	4	16	-12	+5.9	40
15	Alanyaspor	32	9	8	15	-11	-2.8	35
16	Sivasspor	33	9	7	17	-13	-19.4	34
17	Bodrumspor	32	9	7	16	-13	-6.3	34
18	Hatayspor	32	4	7	21	-31	-31.9	19
19	Ad. Demirspor	31	2	4	25	-50	-41.1	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	16	13	3	0	+26	+25.9	42
2	Fenerbahce	15	12	2	1	+23	+20.6	38
3	Goztep	16	10	5	1	+22	+20.6	35
4	Trabzonspor	16	10	4	2	+20	+6.6	34
5	Gaziantep	16	10	3	3	+11	+0.8	33
6	Antalyaspor	16	10	3	3	+3	-2.1	33
7	Besiktas	16	10	2	4	+10	+13.9	32
8	Buyuksehyr	16	9	4	3	+15	+8.0	31
9	Eyüpspor	16	9	3	4	+12	+4.1	30
10	Samsunspor	16	9	2	5	+9	+10.5	29
11	Konyaspor	16	8	5	3	+7	+5.8	29
12	Sivasspor	17	7	5	5	+7	-4.0	26
13	Alanyaspor	16	7	4	5	+3	+6.0	25
14	Rizespor	16	7	4	5	+2	+13.3	25
15	Kayserispor	16	7	4	5	+0	+3.6	25
16	Kasimpasa	15	5	6	4	+0	+4.3	21
17	Bodrumspor	16	5	4	7	+0	-0.1	19
18	Hatayspor	17	3	5	9	-9	-11.6	14
19	Ad. Demirspor	15	1	2	12	-22	-13.7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	16	13	2	1	+25	+10.2	41
2	Fenerbahce	16	11	4	1	+26	+20.0	37
3	Samsunspor	17	8	4	5	+3	-3.9	28
4	Kasimpasa	16	5	6	5	-2	-3.6	21
5	Besiktas	15	4	8	3	+6	+5.8	20
6	Eyüpspor	17	5	5	7	-4	-3.9	20
7	Buyuksehyr	16	6	2	8	-6	-3.3	20
8	Kayserispor	16	3	7	6	-10	-5.7	16
9	Bodrumspor	16	4	3	9	-13	-6.2	15
10	Rizespor	16	5	0	11	-14	-7.4	15
11	Konyaspor	17	4	2	11	-11	-7.5	14
12	Trabzonspor	15	2	5	8	-7	-6.4	11
13	Alanyaspor	16	2	4	10	-14	-8.7	10
14	Antalyaspor	16	2	4	10	-23	-13.5	10
15	Gaziantep	16	2	3	11	-15	-13.6	9
16	Goztep	15	1	5	9	-10	-1.3	8
17	Sivasspor	16	2	2	12	-20	-15.4	8
18	Hatayspor	15	1	2	12	-22	-20.3	5
19	Ad. Demirspor	16	1	2	13	-28	-27.5	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.