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Süper Lig

Referee: M Güzenge

Besiktas

S T S T S

3–0

Full-time

Karagumruk

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Karagumruk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 40%

53%

26%

Points per game

1,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

58%

42%

Both score Ø 50%

58%

42%

Average goals

2,9

2,2

Scored

1,6

1,2

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,09 xG 0,38

44% Possession 56%

17 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 4

17 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Besiktas 4. · Karagumruk 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	19	16	2	1	+40	+34.9	50
2	Galatasaray	19	15	3	1	+26	+25.9	48
3	Trabzonspor	19	11	3	5	+13	-0.2	36
4	Besiktas	19	10	2	7	+4	+6.1	32
5	Ad. Demirspor	19	7	8	4	+9	-0.2	29
6	Kayserispor	19	8	5	6	-1	-3.5	29
7	Rizespor	19	8	5	6	-3	-3.9	29
8	Antalyaspor	19	7	7	5	+5	-0.1	28
9	Buyuksehyr	20	7	5	8	+1	-2.5	26
10	Kasimpasa	20	7	5	8	-7	-7.5	26
11	Sivasspor	19	6	7	6	-5	-2.3	25
12	Ankaragücü	20	5	9	6	+1	-2.8	24
13	Alanyaspor	20	5	7	8	-8	+0.2	22
14	Hatayspor	20	4	9	7	-1	+2.6	21
15	Gaziantep	19	6	3	10	-7	-7.1	21
16	Karagumruk	19	5	5	9	+2	-7.9	20
17	Samsunspor	19	5	3	11	-10	+3.9	18
18	Konyaspor	19	4	6	9	-13	-9.5	18
19	Pendikspor	20	3	7	10	-22	-8.2	16
20	İstanbulspor	19	2	3	14	-24	-17.9	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	9	9	0	0	+17	+17.2	27
2	Fenerbahce	10	8	1	1	+22	+19.6	25
3	Ad. Demirspor	10	7	2	1	+14	+3.9	23
4	Rizespor	10	6	2	2	+5	+3.3	20
5	Trabzonspor	9	6	1	2	+6	+1.2	19
6	Kayserispor	10	5	3	2	+5	+3.6	18
7	Buyuksehyr	10	5	2	3	+5	-0.2	17
8	Antalyaspor	10	4	5	1	+3	-0.8	17
9	Besiktas	9	5	1	3	+2	+3.3	16
10	Karagumruk	10	4	3	3	+6	-1.9	15
11	Hatayspor	10	3	5	2	+2	+1.6	14
12	Ankaragücü	11	3	5	3	+1	+2.1	14
13	Samsunspor	9	4	2	3	+1	+2.7	14
14	Kasimpasa	10	4	2	4	-4	-4.6	14
15	Alanyaspor	10	3	4	3	+0	+2.4	13
16	Konyaspor	9	3	2	4	+1	+1.0	11
17	Gaziantep	9	3	2	4	-3	-4.5	11
18	Sivasspor	9	1	6	2	-2	+2.8	9
19	İstanbulspor	10	2	1	7	-12	-11.6	7
20	Pendikspor	9	1	3	5	-12	-6.9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	9	8	1	0	+18	+15.3	25
2	Galatasaray	10	6	3	1	+9	+8.7	21
3	Trabzonspor	10	5	2	3	+7	-1.3	17
4	Besiktas	10	5	1	4	+2	+2.8	16
5	Sivasspor	10	5	1	4	-3	-5.1	16
6	Kasimpasa	10	3	3	4	-3	-2.9	12
7	Antalyaspor	9	3	2	4	+2	+0.7	11
8	Kayserispor	9	3	2	4	-6	-7.1	11
9	Ankaragücü	9	2	4	3	+0	-4.9	10
10	Gaziantep	10	3	1	6	-4	-2.6	10
11	Pendikspor	11	2	4	5	-10	-1.3	10
12	Buyuksehyr	10	2	3	5	-4	-2.3	9
13	Rizespor	9	2	3	4	-8	-7.3	9
14	Alanyaspor	10	2	3	5	-8	-2.2	9
15	Hatayspor	10	1	4	5	-3	+1.0	7
16	Konyaspor	10	1	4	5	-14	-10.5	7
17	Ad. Demirspor	9	0	6	3	-5	-4.1	6
18	Karagumruk	9	1	2	6	-4	-6.0	5
19	Samsunspor	10	1	1	8	-11	+1.2	4
20	İstanbulspor	9	0	2	7	-12	-6.3	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.