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Süper Lig
Referee: A Şansalan
Karagumruk
S S U U U
1–1
Full-time
Besiktas
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Besiktas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,7
2,3
Scored
2,7
1,8
Conceded
2,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,3
This season — Süper Lig · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 42%
26%
58%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
79%
63%
Both score Ø 71%
79%
63%
Average goals
4,2
3,1
Scored
2,1
1,9
Conceded
2,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%
9 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 8
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karagumruk 10. · Besiktas 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 20 15 3 2 +28 48
2 Fenerbahce 20 14 2 4 +28 44
3 Buyuksehyr 20 12 4 4 +12 40
4 Besiktas 19 11 5 3 +16 38
5 Ad. Demirspor 20 10 7 3 +18 37
6 Trabzonspor 20 10 5 5 +4 35
7 Kayserispor 20 9 2 9 +3 29
8 Konyaspor 20 6 9 5 +3 27
9 Alanyaspor 21 6 7 8 -7 25
10 Karagumruk 19 5 7 7 +1 22
11 Gaziantep 20 5 7 8 -1 22
12 Ankaragücü 20 6 4 10 -7 22
13 Sivasspor 21 5 6 10 -6 21
14 Antalyaspor 19 6 3 10 -7 21
15 Giresunspor 20 5 6 9 -14 21
16 Hatayspor 19 5 5 9 -17 20
17 Kasimpasa 20 5 4 11 -17 19
18 İstanbulspor 20 4 3 13 -24 15
19 Ümraniyespor 20 3 5 12 -13 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karagumruk Besiktas
Fabio Borini ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
23′
33′
C. Tosun 0–1
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 J. Muleka
↦ V. Aboubakar
46′
🔁 R. Saïss
↦ N. Redmond
1–1 M. Ozdoev
F. Borini
49′
Davide Biraschi 🟨
63′
M. Diagne 🔁
↦ C. Kazim-Richards
69′
O. Shukurov 🔁
↦ A. Bertolacci
69′
72′
🔁 G. Nkoudou
↦ T. Sanuç
B. Kapacak 🔁
↦ E. Colley
88′
S. Feghouli 🔁
↦ M. Ozdoev
96′
S. Dursun 🔁
↦ D. Biraschi
96′
97′
🟨 Gedson Fernandes
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Karagumruk

4-3-3
1 B. Şen G
4 D. Biraschi D
99 R. Baniya D
5 I. Drešević D
18 L. Mercan D
91 A. Bertolacci M
8 M. Ricci M
27 M. Ozdoev M
19 E. Colley F
13 C. Kazim-Richards F
16 F. Borini F
Bench (10)
9 M. Diagne
29 O. Shukurov
22 B. Kapacak
89 S. Feghouli
54 S. Dursun
77 A. Uğur
11 K. Frei
24 L. Nicholas
2 E. Viviano
6 Bruno Rodrigues

Coach: A. Pirlo

Besiktas

4-2-3-1
34 M. Günok G
2 V. Rosier D
23 Welinton D
3 T. Sanuç D
25 A. Masuaku D
83 Gedson Fernandes M
88 T. Bingöl M
15 N. Redmond M
11 D. Alli M
9 C. Tosun M
10 V. Aboubakar F
Bench (10)
40 J. Muleka
26 R. Saïss
7 G. Nkoudou
17 K. Kesgin
14 E. Uzunhan
13 A. Hutchinson
1 E. Destanoğlu
22 B. Vardar
20 N. Uysal
77 U. Meraş

Coach: Ş. Güneş

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,76
U ✓
3,87
B
1,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,51
U2,5 ✓
2,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Şansalan · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.