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Ligue 2
Referee: M Leleu
0–1
Full-time
Guingamp
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Quevilly Rouen Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,2
1,7
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 27%
16%
37%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
63%
47%
Both score Ø 50%
63%
37%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
10 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 1
1 Offside 4
21 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Quevilly Rouen 18. · Guingamp 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Angers 19 12 4 3 +17 40
2 Auxerre 19 11 5 3 +20 38
3 Laval 20 10 5 5 +4 35
4 Grenoble 19 9 7 3 +8 34
5 Pau FC 19 8 7 4 +3 31
6 Ajaccio 19 8 6 5 +2 30
7 St Etienne 20 8 5 7 +0 29
8 Guingamp 19 7 6 6 +7 27
9 Rodez 19 7 6 6 +2 27
10 Paris FC 19 8 3 8 +1 27
11 Caen 19 7 5 7 +2 26
12 Amiens 19 6 7 6 -4 25
13 Bordeaux 19 6 5 8 -5 23
14 Concarneau 19 6 4 9 -8 22
15 Bastia 19 5 6 8 -2 21
16 Troyes 19 4 8 7 -3 20
17 Annecy 19 4 7 8 -6 19
18 Quevilly Rouen 19 3 8 8 -4 17
19 Dunkerque 19 3 4 12 -19 13
20 Valenciennes 19 1 8 10 -15 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Quevilly Rouen Guingamp
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Mehdi Merghem
Balthazar Pierret 🟨
50′
70′
🔁 B. Guillaume
↦ H. Picard
Alpha Sissoko 🟨
74′
L. Delaurier-Chaubet 🔁
↦ K. Coulibaly
77′
77′
🔁 T. Luvambo
↦ A. El Ouazzani
P. Yade 🔁
↦ S. Soumano
84′
89′
B. Guillaume 0–1
A. Ben Mohamed
92′
🔁 B. Roux
↦ M. Merghem
A. Do Marcolino 🔁
↦ G. Gbellé
93′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Quevilly Rouen

4-4-2
1 B. Leroy G
58 A. Sissoko D
21 Y. Roche D
5 T. Cissokho D
7 J. Pendant D
93 M. Camara M
8 N. Cadiou M
4 B. Pierret M
12 G. Gbellé M
9 S. Soumano F
19 K. Coulibaly F
Bench (7)
23 L. Delaurier-Chaubet
90 P. Yade
14 A. Do Marcolino
20 N. Cissé
34 T. Pionnier
77 P. Sakho
16 K. Bonnevie

Coach: O. Echouafni

Guingamp

4-2-3-1
16 E. Basilio G
7 D. Gomis D
15 V. Manceau D
24 P. Lemonnier D
25 A. Ben Mohamed D
8 K. Sidibé M
4 D. Louiserre M
10 M. Merghem M
20 H. Picard M
11 A. Sagna M
9 A. El Ouazzani F
Bench (7)
21 B. Guillaume
23 T. Luvambo
2 B. Roux
19 J. Iglesias
27 M. Sivis
26 M. Riou
1 T. Bartouche-Selbonne

Coach: S. Dumont

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,60
U
3,04
B ✓
2,81
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,42
U2,5 ✓
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Leleu · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.