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LaLiga2
Referee: José López
Burgos
S U S U T
1–0
Full-time
Valladolid
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Valladolid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 45%
38%
52%
Points per game
1,4
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
52%
29%
Both score Ø 41%
48%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

31% Possession 69%
7 Shots 20
2 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 9
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 10
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 12. · Valladolid 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 21 11 6 4 +18 39
2 Ferrol 21 10 7 4 +6 37
3 Sp Gijon 21 9 8 4 +11 35
4 Eibar 22 10 5 7 +9 35
5 Levante 22 9 8 5 +2 35
6 Valladolid 21 11 2 8 +2 35
7 Espanol 21 9 7 5 +10 34
8 Santander 22 9 6 7 +5 33
9 Elche 22 9 6 7 +0 33
10 Oviedo 22 7 10 5 +7 31
11 Tenerife 22 9 4 9 +0 31
12 Burgos 21 8 6 7 +2 30
13 Mirandes 22 7 8 7 +1 29
14 Zaragoza 21 7 7 7 +0 28
15 Eldense 21 6 8 7 -5 26
16 Albacete 22 6 7 9 -7 25
17 Villarreal B 21 6 6 9 -7 24
18 Andorra 21 6 5 10 -8 23
19 Huesca 21 5 7 9 -2 22
20 Alcorcon 22 5 6 11 -14 21
21 Amorebieta 22 3 7 12 -13 16
22 Cartagena 21 3 6 12 -17 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Valladolid
1–0 Ander Martín
Curro Sánchez
4′
Half-time 1–0
K. Appin 🔁
↦ Miki Muñoz
60′
José Antonio Caro 🟨
63′
68′
🔁 Víctor Meseguer
↦ Kenedy
Álex Sancris 🟨
69′
Fernando Niño 🟨
73′
Edu Espiau 🔁
↦ Álex Sancris
74′
81′
🔁 B. Akinsola
↦ A. Tuhami
Saúl del Cerro 🔁
↦ Fer Niño
85′
Javi López 🔁
↦ Ander Martín
85′
Javi López-Pinto 🟨
95′
Curro 🟨
96′
96′
🟨 Iván Sánchez
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Burgos

4-4-2
13 José Antonio Caro G
2 Borja González D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
14 Unai Elgezabal D
23 José Matos D
11 Álex Sancris M
5 Miguel Atienza M
22 Miki Muñoz M
8 Ander Martín M
16 Curro Sánchez F
9 Fer Niño F
Bench (8)
12 K. Appin
19 Edu Espiau
28 Saúl del Cerro
27 Javi López
35 Antonio Molina
1 L. Badiashile
30 Lucas Ricoy
33 Sergio Fernández

Coach: Bolo

Valladolid

4-4-2
1 Jordi Masip G
2 Luis Pérez D
6 E. Boyomo D
3 David Torres D
22 Lucas Rosa D
10 Iván Sánchez M
8 Monchu M
20 S. Jurić M
23 A. Tuhami M
24 Kenedy F
7 M. Sylla F
Bench (8)
4 Víctor Meseguer
36 B. Akinsola
21 Joni Montiel
38 Isra Sala
31 Arnau Rafús
26 Alberto Quintana
16 César de la Hoz
18 Sergio Escudero

Coach: P. Pezzolano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,58
U
3,02
B
2,89
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,38
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

José López · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.