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Süper Lig

Referee: K Sağlam

Hatayspor

S T U T U

1–2

Full-time

Besiktas

T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Besiktas

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

63%

50%

Both score Ø 60%

63%

56%

Average goals

2,9

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,4

Conceded

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,58 xG 1,30

54% Possession 46%

8 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 7

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 8

2 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hatayspor 13. · Besiktas 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	17	14	2	1	+30	+27.6	44
2	Galatasaray	17	14	2	1	+23	+23.8	44
3	Trabzonspor	17	9	3	5	+11	+0.7	30
4	Kayserispor	17	8	5	4	+4	-3.2	29
5	Ad. Demirspor	17	7	6	4	+9	-0.5	27
6	Besiktas	16	8	2	6	+1	+5.7	26
7	Rizespor	17	7	5	5	-1	-3.9	26
8	Antalyaspor	17	6	6	5	+4	+0.1	24
9	Kasimpasa	17	6	5	6	-4	-5.7	23
10	Sivasspor	17	5	6	6	-7	-2.8	21
11	Ankaragücü	17	4	8	5	+0	-3.2	20
12	Alanyaspor	17	5	5	7	-7	-1.3	20
13	Hatayspor	16	4	7	5	+2	+3.7	19
14	Buyuksehyr	17	5	4	8	-3	-3.1	19
15	Gaziantep	17	6	1	10	-7	-5.3	19
16	Konyaspor	17	4	6	7	-4	-2.4	18
17	Karagumruk	17	4	5	8	+0	-6.0	17
18	Samsunspor	17	4	3	10	-10	+1.4	15
19	Pendikspor	17	3	5	9	-21	-10.2	14
20	İstanbulspor	17	2	2	13	-20	-15.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	8	8	0	0	+14	+15.2	24
2	Fenerbahce	9	7	1	1	+16	+14.6	22
3	Ad. Demirspor	9	7	1	1	+14	+3.6	22
4	Kayserispor	9	5	3	1	+7	+4.2	18
5	Rizespor	8	5	2	1	+7	+3.4	17
6	Trabzonspor	8	5	1	2	+5	+2.2	16
7	Besiktas	8	5	1	2	+4	+3.8	16
8	Antalyaspor	9	4	4	1	+3	-0.5	16
9	Kasimpasa	9	4	2	3	-1	-3.2	14
10	Buyuksehyr	8	4	1	3	+4	+0.7	13
11	Hatayspor	7	3	3	1	+3	+2.6	12
12	Karagumruk	9	3	3	3	+3	-1.5	12
13	Alanyaspor	9	3	3	3	+0	+2.1	12
14	Konyaspor	9	3	2	4	+1	+1.0	11
15	Samsunspor	8	3	2	3	+0	+1.2	11
16	Ankaragücü	9	2	5	2	+0	+1.4	11
17	Gaziantep	8	3	1	4	-3	-3.0	10
18	Sivasspor	8	1	5	2	-2	+2.9	8
19	İstanbulspor	9	2	1	6	-8	-9.3	7
20	Pendikspor	8	1	3	4	-11	-6.7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	8	7	1	0	+14	+13.0	22
2	Galatasaray	9	6	2	1	+9	+8.6	20
3	Trabzonspor	9	4	2	3	+6	-1.5	14
4	Sivasspor	9	4	1	4	-5	-5.7	13
5	Kayserispor	8	3	2	3	-3	-7.5	11
6	Besiktas	8	3	1	4	-3	+1.9	10
7	Ankaragücü	8	2	3	3	+0	-4.6	9
8	Kasimpasa	8	2	3	3	-3	-2.5	9
9	Gaziantep	9	3	0	6	-4	-2.3	9
10	Rizespor	9	2	3	4	-8	-7.3	9
11	Antalyaspor	8	2	2	4	+1	+0.6	8
12	Alanyaspor	8	2	2	4	-7	-3.4	8
13	Pendikspor	9	2	2	5	-10	-3.4	8
14	Hatayspor	9	1	4	4	-1	+1.1	7
15	Konyaspor	8	1	4	3	-5	-3.5	7
16	Buyuksehyr	9	1	3	5	-7	-3.7	6
17	Karagumruk	8	1	2	5	-3	-4.5	5
18	Ad. Demirspor	8	0	5	3	-5	-4.1	5
19	Samsunspor	9	1	1	7	-10	+0.2	4
20	İstanbulspor	8	0	1	7	-12	-6.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.