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Bundesliga
Referee: C Dingert
Freiburg
S S T S T
0–0
Full-time
Union Berlin
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Union Berlin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 16/15 matches
Win Ø 36%
44%
27%
Points per game
1,5
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
56%
67%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
40%
Average goals
2,9
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,6
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,79 xG 0,46
57% Possession 43%
14 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Freiburg 8. · Union Berlin 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leverkusen 16 13 3 0 +34 +18.1 42
2 Bayern Munich 16 13 2 1 +37 +35.1 41
3 Stuttgart 16 11 1 4 +18 +21.2 34
4 RB Leipzig 16 10 3 3 +21 +14.0 33
5 Dortmund 16 7 6 3 +5 +1.3 27
6 Ein Frankfurt 16 6 6 4 +6 -1.9 24
7 Hoffenheim 17 7 3 7 -1 -2.7 24
8 Freiburg 16 7 3 6 -5 +0.2 24
9 Heidenheim 16 6 2 8 -7 -16.3 20
10 Wolfsburg 16 6 1 9 -7 -5.0 19
11 Augsburg 16 4 6 6 -7 -3.4 18
12 M'gladbach 16 4 5 7 -4 -4.5 17
13 Werder Bremen 16 4 4 8 -7 -7.3 16
14 Bochum 16 3 7 6 -15 -7.5 16
15 Union Berlin 15 4 1 10 -14 -4.6 13
16 Mainz 16 1 7 8 -15 -1.4 10
17 FC Koln 16 2 4 10 -18 -18.0 10
18 Darmstadt 16 2 4 10 -21 -17.3 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Freiburg Union Berlin
Half-time 0–0
50′
🟨 Brenden Aaronson
69′
🔁 A. Schäfer
↦ B. Aaronson
69′
🔁 R. Gosens
↦ J. Roussillon
69′
🔁 K. Behrens
↦ M. Kaufmann
M. Philipp 🔁
↦ V. Grifo
83′
L. Höler 🔁
↦ N. Weißhaupt
83′
88′
🔁 C. Trimmel
↦ J. Juranović
92′
🔁 L. Tousart
↦ K. Volland
95′
🟨 Frederik Rønnow
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Freiburg

4-2-3-1
1 N. Atubolu G
25 K. Sildillia D
28 M. Ginter D
5 M. Gulde D
33 J. Makengo D
34 M. Röhl M
8 M. Eggestein M
7 N. Weißhaupt M
22 R. Sallai M
32 V. Grifo M
38 M. Gregoritsch F
Bench (9)
26 M. Philipp
9 L. Höler
35 F. Rüdlin
20 J. Adamu
21 F. Müller
17 L. Kübler
54 M. Baur
3 P. Lienhart
14 Y. Keitel

Coach: C. Streich

Union Berlin

5-3-2
1 F. Rønnow G
18 J. Juranović D
31 R. Knoche D
2 K. Vogt D
4 Diogo Leite D
26 J. Roussillon D
19 J. Haberer M
33 A. Král M
7 B. Aaronson M
10 K. Volland F
9 M. Kaufmann F
Bench (9)
13 A. Schäfer
6 R. Gosens
17 K. Behrens
28 C. Trimmel
29 L. Tousart
5 D. Doekhi
3 P. Jaeckel
37 A. Schwolow
16 B. Hollerbach

Coach: N. Bjelica

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,09
U ✓
3,58
B
3,52
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,98
U2,5 ✓
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Dingert · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.