Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Freiburg
Union Berlin
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Leverkusen
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | +34 | +18.1 | 42 |
| 2 |
Bayern Munich
|
16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | +37 | +35.1 | 41 |
| 3 |
Stuttgart
|
16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | +18 | +21.2 | 34 |
| 4 |
RB Leipzig
|
16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | +21 | +14.0 | 33 |
| 5 |
Dortmund
|
16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | +5 | +1.3 | 27 |
| 6 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +6 | -1.9 | 24 |
| 7 |
Hoffenheim
|
17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | -1 | -2.7 | 24 |
| 8 |
Freiburg
|
16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | -5 | +0.2 | 24 |
| 9 |
Heidenheim
|
16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | -7 | -16.3 | 20 |
| 10 |
Wolfsburg
|
16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -7 | -5.0 | 19 |
| 11 |
Augsburg
|
16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -7 | -3.4 | 18 |
| 12 |
M'gladbach
|
16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -4 | -4.5 | 17 |
| 13 |
Werder Bremen
|
16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -7 | -7.3 | 16 |
| 14 |
Bochum
|
16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -15 | -7.5 | 16 |
| 15 |
Union Berlin
|
15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -14 | -4.6 | 13 |
| 16 |
Mainz
|
16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -15 | -1.4 | 10 |
| 17 |
FC Koln
|
16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -18 | -18.0 | 10 |
| 18 |
Darmstadt
|
16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -21 | -17.3 | 10 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
N. Atubolu
G
K. Sildillia
D
M. Ginter
D
J. Makengo
D
M. Röhl
M
M. Eggestein
M
N. Weißhaupt
M
R. Sallai
M
V. Grifo
M
M. Gregoritsch
F
Coach: C. Streich
F. Rønnow
G
J. Juranović
D
Diogo Leite
D
J. Haberer
M
A. Král
M
B. Aaronson
M
M. Kaufmann
F
Coach: N. Bjelica
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Heidenheim
Freiburg
Freiburg
FC Koln
West Ham
Freiburg
Wolfsburg
Freiburg
Mainz
Freiburg
C Dingert · 108 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.