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Conference League
Referee: P Raczkowski
Lugano
S T S T S
0–2
Full-time
Besiktas
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Besiktas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 5/11 matches
Win Ø 38%
20%
55%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
60%
73%
Both score Ø 67%
60%
73%
Average goals
3,6
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
2,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,27 xG 1,04
56% Possession 44%
24 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 6
12 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Oct -23 Besiktas – Lugano 2–3

Match report

Lugano Besiktas
9′
🟨 Jackson Muleka
36′
⚽ C. Tosun 0–1
Half-time 0–1
S. Vladi 🔁
↦ H. Mahmoud
46′
46′
🔁 S. Kılıçsoy
↦ C. Tosun
61′
🔁 E. Tıknaz
↦ S. Uçan
61′
🔁 M. Hekimoğlu
↦ J. Muleka
63′
🟨 Demir Ege Tıknaz
J. Espinoza 🔁
↦ A. Arigoni
70′
R. Macek 🔁
↦ J. Sabbatini
70′
Jhon Espinoza 🟨
73′
75′
🟨 Onur Bulut
75′
🟨 Mustafa Hekimoglu
Albian Hajdari 🟨
76′
79′
🟨 Bakhtiyar Zaynutdinov
B. Babic 🔁
↦ A. Hajdari
84′
A. El Wafi 🔁
↦ Y. Cimignani
84′
85′
🔁 E. Delibaş
↦ T. Bingöl
88′
⚽ E. Terzi 0–2
Renato Steffen 🟥
90′
90′
🟥 Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain
94′
🔁 A. Kömeç
↦ A. Hadžiahmetović
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Lugano

4-3-3
1 A. Saipi G
34 A. Arigoni D
17 L. Mai D
4 K. Hajrizi D
5 A. Hajdari D
29 H. Mahmoud M
14 J. Sabbatini M
25 U. Bislimi M
11 R. Steffen F
9 Ž. Celar F
21 Y. Cimignani F
Bench (9)
19 S. Vladi
6 J. Espinoza
7 R. Macek
27 B. Babic
22 A. El Wafi
99 D. Mina
41 N. De Queiroz
50 J. Angstmann
90 S. Deana

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Besiktas

4-3-3
1 E. Destanoğlu G
4 O. Bulut D
12 D. Amartey D
22 B. Zaynutdinov D
79 E. Terzi D
8 S. Uçan M
19 A. Hadžiahmetović M
15 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain M
40 J. Muleka F
9 C. Tosun F
75 T. Bingöl F
Bench (7)
90 S. Kılıçsoy
21 E. Tıknaz
64 M. Hekimoğlu
27 E. Delibaş
66 A. Kömeç
97 U. Yuvakuran
94 G. Baytekin

Coach: R. Çalımbay

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

P Raczkowski · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.