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Süper Lig

Referee: E Kargın

Samsunspor

T S S U T

1–0

Full-time

Karagumruk

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Samsunspor Karagumruk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 24%

24%

Points per game

0,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

53%

41%

Both score Ø 53%

65%

41%

Average goals

2,8

2,1

Scored

1,1

Conceded

1,7

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,72 xG 0,27

45% Possession 55%

13 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

22 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Samsunspor 18. · Karagumruk 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	17	14	2	1	+30	+27.6	44
2	Galatasaray	17	14	2	1	+23	+23.8	44
3	Trabzonspor	17	9	3	5	+11	+0.7	30
4	Kayserispor	17	8	5	4	+4	-3.2	29
5	Rizespor	18	8	5	5	+1	-3.8	29
6	Besiktas	18	9	2	7	+0	+6.0	29
7	Ad. Demirspor	18	7	7	4	+9	-0.5	28
8	Kasimpasa	18	7	5	6	-2	-5.2	26
9	Antalyaspor	18	6	7	5	+4	-0.2	25
10	Sivasspor	17	5	6	6	-7	-2.8	21
11	Alanyaspor	18	5	6	7	-7	-1.0	21
12	Ankaragücü	17	4	8	5	+0	-3.2	20
13	Buyuksehyr	18	5	5	8	-3	-3.1	20
14	Gaziantep	18	6	2	10	-7	-6.7	20
15	Hatayspor	18	4	7	7	-1	+2.9	19
16	Konyaspor	17	4	6	7	-4	-2.4	18
17	Karagumruk	17	4	5	8	+0	-6.0	17
18	Samsunspor	17	4	3	10	-10	+1.4	15
19	Pendikspor	18	3	6	9	-21	-8.7	15
20	İstanbulspor	17	2	2	13	-20	-15.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	8	8	0	0	+14	+15.2	24
2	Fenerbahce	9	7	1	1	+16	+14.6	22
3	Ad. Demirspor	9	7	1	1	+14	+3.6	22
4	Rizespor	9	6	2	1	+9	+3.5	20
5	Kayserispor	9	5	3	1	+7	+4.2	18
6	Antalyaspor	10	4	5	1	+3	-0.8	17
7	Trabzonspor	8	5	1	2	+5	+2.2	16
8	Besiktas	9	5	1	3	+2	+3.3	16
9	Buyuksehyr	9	4	2	3	+4	+0.7	14
10	Kasimpasa	9	4	2	3	-1	-3.2	14
11	Karagumruk	9	3	3	3	+3	-1.5	12
12	Hatayspor	8	3	3	2	+2	+1.9	12
13	Alanyaspor	9	3	3	3	+0	+2.1	12
14	Konyaspor	9	3	2	4	+1	+1.0	11
15	Samsunspor	8	3	2	3	+0	+1.2	11
16	Ankaragücü	9	2	5	2	+0	+1.4	11
17	Gaziantep	9	3	2	4	-3	-4.5	11
18	Sivasspor	8	1	5	2	-2	+2.9	8
19	İstanbulspor	9	2	1	6	-8	-9.3	7
20	Pendikspor	8	1	3	4	-11	-6.7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	8	7	1	0	+14	+13.0	22
2	Galatasaray	9	6	2	1	+9	+8.6	20
3	Trabzonspor	9	4	2	3	+6	-1.5	14
4	Besiktas	9	4	1	4	-2	+2.6	13
5	Sivasspor	9	4	1	4	-5	-5.7	13
6	Kasimpasa	9	3	3	3	-1	-2.0	12
7	Kayserispor	8	3	2	3	-3	-7.5	11
8	Ankaragücü	8	2	3	3	+0	-4.6	9
9	Gaziantep	9	3	0	6	-4	-2.3	9
10	Alanyaspor	9	2	3	4	-7	-3.1	9
11	Rizespor	9	2	3	4	-8	-7.3	9
12	Pendikspor	10	2	3	5	-10	-2.0	9
13	Antalyaspor	8	2	2	4	+1	+0.6	8
14	Hatayspor	10	1	4	5	-3	+1.0	7
15	Konyaspor	8	1	4	3	-5	-3.5	7
16	Ad. Demirspor	9	0	6	3	-5	-4.1	6
17	Buyuksehyr	9	1	3	5	-7	-3.7	6
18	Karagumruk	8	1	2	5	-3	-4.5	5
19	Samsunspor	9	1	1	7	-10	+0.2	4
20	İstanbulspor	8	0	1	7	-12	-6.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.