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Championship
Referee: S Barrott
Preston
T S T T T
2–0
Full-time
Bristol City
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Preston Bristol City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
2,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 38%
38%
38%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
62%
38%
Both score Ø 56%
62%
50%
Average goals
2,9
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,13 xG 0,81
49% Possession 51%
12 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Preston 14. · Bristol City 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leicester 27 21 2 4 +34 +23.0 65
2 Ipswich 26 16 7 3 +15 +11.4 55
3 Southampton 25 14 7 4 +14 +17.5 49
4 Leeds 25 13 6 6 +19 +19.1 45
5 West Brom 25 12 6 7 +13 +5.1 42
6 Coventry 27 10 10 7 +12 +6.5 40
7 Sunderland 26 12 4 10 +8 +12.8 40
8 Hull 27 11 6 10 +3 +6.6 39
9 Norwich 26 11 5 10 +2 -5.4 38
10 Cardiff 26 11 4 11 +1 -8.9 37
11 Watford 26 9 9 8 +6 +3.9 36
12 Bristol City 26 10 6 10 +2 +2.5 36
13 Middlesbrough 26 11 3 12 -1 +11.9 36
14 Preston 26 10 5 11 -13 -10.3 35
15 Millwall 26 8 8 10 -3 -5.5 32
16 Swansea 26 8 8 10 -4 -10.0 32
17 Blackburn 26 10 2 14 -9 -1.9 32
18 Plymouth 26 7 8 11 -2 -12.5 29
19 Stoke 26 7 8 11 -7 -2.5 29
20 Birmingham 26 7 7 12 -11 -4.9 28
21 Huddersfield 26 5 10 11 -18 -14.4 25
22 Sheffield Weds 26 6 4 16 -19 -4.6 22
23 QPR 26 5 6 15 -16 -10.6 21
24 Rotherham 26 3 9 14 -26 -29.0 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Preston Bristol City
Half-time 0–0
W. Keane 🔁
↦ M. Osmajić
46′
M. Frøkjær-Jensen 🔁
↦ A. Browne
46′
E. Riis 🔁
↦ D. Holmes
46′
50′
🟨 Cameron Pring
Will Keane 🟨
57′
1–0 W. Keane
65′
75′
🔁 R. McCrorie
↦ A. Mehmeti
75′
🔁 N. Wells
↦ S. Bell
75′
🔁 M. James
↦ T. Gardner-Hickman
2–0 W. Keane
E. Riis
77′
R. Brady 🔁
↦ B. Potts
80′
89′
🔁 A. King
↦ J. Knight
89′
🔁 H. Cornick
↦ T. Conway
95′
🟨 Harry Cornick
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Preston

4-1-4-1
1 F. Woodman G
44 B. Potts D
14 J. Storey D
6 L. Lindsay D
16 A. Hughes D
4 B. Whiteman M
25 D. Holmes M
8 A. Browne M
13 A. McCann M
23 L. Millar M
28 M. Osmajić F
Bench (9)
7 W. Keane
10 M. Frøkjær-Jensen
19 E. Riis
11 R. Brady
33 K. Best
21 D. Cornell
17 L. Stewart
18 R. Ledson
3 G. Cunningham

Coach: R. Lowe

Bristol City

3-4-2-1
1 M. O’Leary G
19 G. Tanner D
26 Z. Vyner D
16 R. Dickie D
20 S. Bell M
8 J. Williams M
22 T. Gardner-Hickman M
3 C. Pring M
12 J. Knight F
11 A. Mehmeti F
15 T. Conway F
Bench (8)
2 R. McCrorie
21 N. Wells
6 M. James
10 A. King
9 H. Cornick
24 H. Roberts
23 S. Bajić
27 J. Knight-Lebel

Coach: L. Manning

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,63
U
3,15
B
2,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,41
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Barrott · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.