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Süper Lig

Referee: T Numanoğlu

Galatasaray

S U S S T

1–0

Full-time

Karagumruk

U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Karagumruk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 57%

87%

27%

Points per game

2,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

60%

40%

Both score Ø 47%

47%

Average goals

2,7

2,1

Scored

2,1

1,2

Conceded

0,6

0,9

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,65 xG 0,37

54% Possession 46%

18 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 4

3 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Galatasaray 2. · Karagumruk 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	16	14	1	1	+30	+27.7	43
2	Galatasaray	15	13	1	1	+22	+22.4	40
3	Trabzonspor	16	9	2	5	+11	+0.3	29
4	Kayserispor	16	8	5	3	+6	-2.1	29
5	Besiktas	15	8	2	5	+3	+5.8	26
6	Ad. Demirspor	16	6	6	4	+8	-0.1	24
7	Antalyaspor	15	6	5	4	+5	-0.3	23
8	Rizespor	15	6	4	5	-5	-5.8	22
9	Kasimpasa	15	6	3	6	-4	-5.8	21
10	Hatayspor	15	4	6	5	+2	+4.3	18
11	Ankaragücü	15	4	6	5	+0	-2.8	18
12	Buyuksehyr	16	5	3	8	-3	-2.7	18
13	Sivasspor	16	4	6	6	-8	-3.8	18
14	Karagumruk	15	4	5	6	+4	-4.2	17
15	Gaziantep	16	5	1	10	-10	-5.9	16
16	Konyaspor	15	3	5	7	-6	-3.9	14
17	Samsunspor	15	4	2	9	-8	+2.8	14
18	Alanyaspor	15	3	5	7	-11	-2.5	14
19	Pendikspor	15	3	4	8	-17	-9.2	13
20	İstanbulspor	16	2	2	12	-19	-14.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	8	7	0	1	+16	+14.7	21
2	Galatasaray	7	7	0	0	+13	+13.9	21
3	Ad. Demirspor	8	6	1	1	+13	+4.0	19
4	Kayserispor	9	5	3	1	+7	+4.2	18
5	Besiktas	7	5	1	1	+6	+3.9	16
6	Trabzonspor	7	5	0	2	+5	+1.8	15
7	Antalyaspor	8	4	3	1	+3	-0.5	15
8	Rizespor	7	4	2	1	+3	+1.3	14
9	Buyuksehyr	8	4	1	3	+4	+0.7	13
10	Kasimpasa	8	4	1	3	-1	-3.4	13
11	Karagumruk	8	3	3	2	+6	-0.9	12
12	Hatayspor	7	3	3	1	+3	+2.6	12
13	Samsunspor	7	3	1	3	+0	+1.5	10
14	Ankaragücü	8	2	4	2	+0	+0.8	10
15	Gaziantep	8	3	1	4	-3	-3.0	10
16	Alanyaspor	8	2	3	3	-2	+1.0	9
17	Konyaspor	8	2	2	4	-1	-0.1	8
18	İstanbulspor	9	2	1	6	-8	-9.3	7
19	Sivasspor	7	0	5	2	-3	+1.9	5
20	Pendikspor	7	1	2	4	-11	-7.8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	8	7	1	0	+14	+13.0	22
2	Galatasaray	8	6	1	1	+9	+8.5	19
3	Trabzonspor	9	4	2	3	+6	-1.5	14
4	Sivasspor	9	4	1	4	-5	-5.7	13
5	Kayserispor	7	3	2	2	-1	-6.3	11
6	Besiktas	8	3	1	4	-3	+1.9	10
7	Antalyaspor	7	2	2	3	+2	+0.2	8
8	Ankaragücü	7	2	2	3	+0	-3.5	8
9	Kasimpasa	7	2	2	3	-3	-2.4	8
10	Pendikspor	8	2	2	4	-6	-1.3	8
11	Rizespor	8	2	2	4	-8	-7.1	8
12	Hatayspor	8	1	3	4	-1	+1.7	6
13	Konyaspor	7	1	3	3	-5	-3.8	6
14	Gaziantep	8	2	0	6	-7	-2.9	6
15	Karagumruk	7	1	2	4	-2	-3.2	5
16	Ad. Demirspor	8	0	5	3	-5	-4.1	5
17	Buyuksehyr	8	1	2	5	-7	-3.4	5
18	Alanyaspor	7	1	2	4	-9	-3.5	5
19	Samsunspor	8	1	1	6	-8	+1.3	4
20	İstanbulspor	7	0	1	6	-11	-5.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.