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Conference League
Referee: J Weinberger
Besiktas
U S S S S
2–1
Full-time
Neftchi Baku
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Neftchi Baku
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
2,8
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,3
This season — Conference League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
2,7
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

74% Possession 26%
17 Shots 4
9 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 10
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Aug -23 Neftchi Baku – Besiktas 1–3

Match report

Besiktas Neftchi Baku
36′
⚽ E. Mahmudov 0–1
Half-time 0–1
A. Masuaku 🔁
↦ U. Meraş
46′
V. Aboubakar 🔁
↦ A. Rebić
46′
A. Hadžiahmetović 🔁
↦ J. Onana
46′
O. Bulut 🔁
↦ S. Kılıçsoy
49′
1–1 V. Aboubakar ⚽
57′
64′
🔁 R. Hacıyev
↦ F. Ozobić
69′
🔁 E. Bogomolskiy
↦ A. Olanare
2–1 J. Muleka ⚽
71′
S. Uçan 🔁
↦ E. Tıknaz
77′
79′
🔁 A. Salahlı
↦ K. Saief
79′
🔁 İ. Zülfüqarlı
↦ Andre Shinyashiki
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Besiktas

4-3-3
34 M. Günok G
24 V. Rosier D
20 N. Uysal D
12 D. Amartey D
77 U. Meraş D
21 E. Tıknaz M
71 J. Onana M
83 Gedson Fernandes M
90 S. Kılıçsoy F
40 J. Muleka F
7 A. Rebić F
Bench (12)
26 A. Masuaku
10 V. Aboubakar
19 A. Hadžiahmetović
4 O. Bulut
8 S. Uçan
23 K. Yılmaz
99 E. Bulut
17 K. Kesgin
97 U. Yuvakuran
9 C. Tosun
1 E. Destanoğlu
3 Javi Montero

Coach: Ş. Güneş

Neftchi Baku

4-2-3-1
1 I. Brkić G
99 E. Koffi D
44 Yuri Matias D
4 M. Tamás D
5 K. Saief D
23 Ataa Jaber M
8 E. Mahmudov M
10 F. Ozobić M
9 Andre Shinyashiki M
11 K. Lebon M
25 A. Olanare F
Bench (8)
17 R. Hacıyev
77 E. Bogomolskiy
19 A. Salahlı
21 İ. Zülfüqarlı
30 A. Məmmədov
27 F. Yusifli
3 H. Haqqverdi
93 R. Cəfərov

Coach: A. Mutu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Weinberger · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.