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Süper Lig
Referee: Cuneyt Cakir
Galatasaray
S U S S S
3–1
Full-time
Besiktas
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Besiktas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
4,3
Scored
1,5
3,2
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,0
This season — Süper Lig · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 65%
62%
68%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
54%
68%
Both score Ø 50%
46%
54%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,9
2,3
Conceded
0,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

40% Possession 60%
9 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Galatasaray 3. · Besiktas 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 37 25 6 6 +47 81
2 Fenerbahce 37 23 7 7 +30 76
3 Galatasaray 37 23 6 8 +37 75
4 Trabzonspor 37 17 13 7 +11 64
5 Hatayspor 38 17 9 12 +10 60
6 Sivasspor 37 14 16 7 +9 58
7 Alanyaspor 38 16 9 13 +13 57
8 Gaziantep 37 14 12 11 +8 54
9 Goztep 37 13 12 12 +4 51
10 Karagumruk 37 13 12 12 +3 51
11 Konyaspor 37 11 12 14 +0 45
12 Rizespor 38 11 12 15 -15 45
13 Yeni Malatyaspor 38 10 14 14 -2 44
14 Antalyaspor 38 9 16 13 -13 43
15 Buyuksehyr 37 11 10 16 -14 43
16 Kasimpasa 37 10 10 17 -12 40
17 Kayserispor 37 9 12 16 -16 39
18 Ankaragücü 37 10 8 19 -15 38
19 Erzurumspor 38 9 10 19 -24 37
20 Genclerbirligi 37 9 8 20 -29 35
21 Denizlispor 38 6 10 22 -32 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Galatasaray Besiktas
Ryan Babel 🟨
6′
1–0 R. Babel
Gedson Fernandes
11′
Ryan Babel ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
13′
Marcão 🟨
14′
30′
🟨 Josef De Souza
Ryan Donk 🟨
40′
40′
ℹ️ Atiba Hutchinson
VAR: Goal cancelled
42′
R. Ghezzal 1–1
43′
🟨 Fabrice N'Sakala
44′
🟨 Atiba Hutchinson
Half-time 2–1
2–1 R. Falcao
46′
62′
🔁 D. Toköz
↦ G. Töre
Henry Onyekuru 🟨
63′
K. Aktürkoğlu 🔁
↦ H. Onyekuru
63′
Mostafa Mohamed 🔁
↦ R. Falcao
63′
71′
🔁 N. Uysal
↦ A. Ljajić
A. Turan 🔁
↦ R. Babel
73′
E. Kılınç 🔁
↦ E. Akbaba
74′
3–1 A. Turan
E. Kılınç
76′
88′
🔁 R. Yılmaz
↦ A. Hutchinson
H. Dervişoğlu 🔁
↦ Gedson Fernandes
92′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Galatasaray

4-1-4-1
1 F. Muslera G
22 D. Yedlin D
45 Marcão Teixeira D
36 M. Saracchi D
15 R. Donk D
4 T. Antalyalı M
20 E. Akbaba M
83 Gedson Fernandes M
8 R. Babel M
9 R. Falcao F
7 H. Onyekuru M
Bench (10)
18 K. Aktürkoğlu
31 Mostafa Mohamed
66 A. Turan
54 E. Kılınç
11 H. Dervişoğlu
89 S. Feghouli
19 Ö. Bayram
2 Ş. Özbayraklı
34 O. Kocuk
27 C. Luyindama

Coach: F. Terim

Besiktas

4-1-4-1
30 E. Destanoğlu G
24 D. Vida D
21 F. N'Sakala D
23 Welinton D
2 V. Rosier D
13 A. Hutchinson M
5 Josef de Souza M
22 A. Ljajić M
70 G. Töre F
18 R. Ghezzal M
17 C. Larin M
Bench (8)
26 D. Toköz
20 N. Uysal
33 R. Yılmaz
4 Javi Montero
97 U. Yuvakuran
61 E. Bilgin
28 B. Ceylan
46 S. Saatçı

Coach: S. Yalçın

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,40
U
3,39
B
2,86
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,76
U2,5
2,05
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Cuneyt Cakir · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.