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Süper Lig

Referee: K Sağlam

Kasimpasa

S S S S T

4–0

Full-time

Ad. Demirspor

T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kasimpasa Ad. Demirspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,2

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

This season — Süper Lig · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 39%

34%

44%

Points per game

1,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

56%

47%

Both score Ø 60%

66%

53%

Average goals

3,0

2,6

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

52% Possession 48%

22 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 7

5 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Kasimpasa 13. · Ad. Demirspor 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	33	21	10	2	+32	73
2	Fenerbahce	33	18	8	7	+23	62
3	Konyaspor	33	18	7	8	+20	61
4	Buyuksehyr	33	16	6	11	+14	54
5	Ad. Demirspor	32	14	10	8	+16	52
6	Alanyaspor	33	15	7	11	+4	52
7	Besiktas	32	13	11	8	+8	50
8	Antalyaspor	33	14	8	11	+4	50
9	Hatayspor	33	14	7	12	-1	49
10	Karagumruk	33	13	8	12	-8	47
11	Sivasspor	33	10	12	11	+0	42
12	Kayserispor	33	11	9	13	-8	42
13	Kasimpasa	32	11	8	13	+2	41
14	Galatasaray	32	11	8	13	-5	41
15	Gaziantep	33	11	8	14	-6	41
16	Giresunspor	32	11	6	15	-4	39
17	Altay	33	8	6	19	-15	30
18	Rizespor	33	8	6	19	-26	30
19	Goztep	33	7	6	20	-20	27
20	Yeni Malatyaspor	32	5	5	22	-30	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Konyaspor	17	12	4	1	+20	40
2	Trabzonspor	17	11	6	0	+17	39
3	Gaziantep	16	10	5	1	+16	35
4	Fenerbahce	17	10	4	3	+15	34
5	Besiktas	16	10	4	2	+12	34
6	Antalyaspor	16	9	4	3	+14	31
7	Hatayspor	16	9	4	3	+13	31
8	Buyuksehyr	16	10	1	5	+10	31
9	Kayserispor	17	9	4	4	+8	31
10	Ad. Demirspor	16	8	5	3	+14	29
11	Karagumruk	16	8	5	3	+9	29
12	Galatasaray	16	8	3	5	+6	27
13	Rizespor	17	8	2	7	+0	26
14	Kasimpasa	16	7	4	5	+6	25
15	Alanyaspor	17	7	4	6	+4	25
16	Sivasspor	16	5	8	3	+7	23
17	Giresunspor	16	6	3	7	+0	21
18	Altay	16	5	3	8	-4	18
19	Goztep	17	4	2	11	-8	14
20	Yeni Malatyaspor	16	3	3	10	-15	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	16	10	4	2	+15	34
2	Fenerbahce	16	8	4	4	+8	28
3	Alanyaspor	16	8	3	5	+0	27
4	Buyuksehyr	17	6	5	6	+4	23
5	Ad. Demirspor	16	6	5	5	+2	23
6	Konyaspor	16	6	3	7	+0	21
7	Sivasspor	17	5	4	8	-7	19
8	Antalyaspor	17	5	4	8	-10	19
9	Giresunspor	16	5	3	8	-4	18
10	Hatayspor	17	5	3	9	-14	18
11	Karagumruk	17	5	3	9	-17	18
12	Kasimpasa	16	4	4	8	-4	16
13	Besiktas	16	3	7	6	-4	16
14	Galatasaray	16	3	5	8	-11	14
15	Goztep	16	3	4	9	-12	13
16	Altay	17	3	3	11	-11	12
17	Kayserispor	16	2	5	9	-16	11
18	Yeni Malatyaspor	16	2	2	12	-15	8
19	Gaziantep	17	1	3	13	-22	6
20	Rizespor	16	0	4	12	-26	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.