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Süper Lig
Referee: B Birincioğlu
5–1
Full-time
Denizlispor
S U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Yeni Malatyaspor Denizlispor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
83%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,3
1,3
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Süper Lig · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
83%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,3
1,3
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

55% Possession 45%
15 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
20 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Yeni Malatyaspor 13. · Denizlispor 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alanyaspor 6 4 2 0 +7 14
2 Fenerbahce 6 3 2 1 +5 11
3 Gaziantep 6 3 2 1 +0 11
4 Trabzonspor 6 2 3 1 +3 9
5 Sivasspor 6 2 3 1 +3 9
6 Konyaspor 6 2 3 1 +1 9
7 Galatasaray 6 2 3 1 +0 9
8 Buyuksehyr 6 2 2 2 +2 8
9 Denizlispor 6 2 2 2 +2 8
10 Antalyaspor 6 2 2 2 -1 8
11 Ankaragücü 6 2 2 2 -3 8
12 Rizespor 6 2 2 2 -4 8
13 Yeni Malatyaspor 6 2 1 3 +2 7
14 Kasimpasa 6 2 1 3 -1 7
15 Goztep 6 1 3 2 -3 6
16 Besiktas 6 1 2 3 -4 5
17 Kayserispor 6 0 3 3 -3 3
18 Genclerbirligi 6 0 2 4 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Yeni Malatyaspor Denizlispor
26′
🟨 Oğuz Yılmaz
27′
🟨 Cristian Săpunaru
28′
🟨 Tiago Lopes
1–0 A. Jahović
28′
2–0 M. Donald
34′
Sakıb Aytaç 🟨
38′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 I. Aissati
↦ I. Sackey
61′
🟨 Radosław Murawski
3–0 A. Jahović
61′
64′
🟨 Olcay Şahan
65′
H. Rodallega 3–1
I. Aissati
67′
🔁 O. Estupiñán
↦ O. Şahan
4–1 A. Jahović
Guilherme
69′
G. Chalali 🔁
↦ M. Donald
72′
R. Çağıran 🔁
↦ M. Fofana
73′
76′
🟨 Adam Stachowiak
76′
🔁 H. Sacko
↦ Modou Barrow
Ghailene Chaalali 🟨
79′
E. Kaş 🔁
↦ S. Aytaç
84′
5–1 A. Jahović
Guilherme
92′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Yeni Malatyaspor

4-2-3-1
30 F. Farnolle G
91 S. Aytaç D
29 I. Chebake D
16 T. Hadebe D
8 M. Yıldırım M
20 M. Donald M
66 Guilherme M
19 A. Acquah M
6 R. Yalçın D
18 A. Jahović F
21 M. Fofana M
Bench (8)
25 G. Chalali
77 R. Çağıran
3 E. Kaş
10 T. Bifouma
14 A. Ildız
35 U. Ceylan
11 E. Tozlu
76 Ö. Özdemir

Coach: S. Yalçın

Denizlispor

4-1-4-1
33 A. Stachowiak G
22 C. Săpunaru D
61 Z. Yavru M
21 Z. Bergdich D
2 Tiago Lopes D
15 O. Yılmaz D
70 O. Şahan M
8 R. Murawski M
90 I. Sackey M
7 H. Rodallega F
77 Modou Barrow M
Bench (10)
10 I. Aissati
19 O. Estupiñán
9 H. Sacko
6 M. Mbamba
20 R. Niyaz
24 B. Çalık
39 Kerem Can Akyüz
25 T. Acar
5 M. Yumlu
11 S. Şahintürk

Coach: Y. İldiz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,97
U
3,62
B
3,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,09
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.