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Championship

Referee: Farai Hallam

Watford

U T U T T

2–1

Full-time

Preston

T T T T S

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Watford Preston

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Championship · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 20%

20%

Points per game

1,0

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

20%

80%

Both score Ø 70%

60%

80%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,26 xG 2,44

61% Possession 39%

15 Shots 18

5 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Watford 18. · Preston 23. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Swansea	5	3	2	0	+6	+1.4	11
2	Middlesbrough	5	3	1	1	+3	+3.4	10
3	QPR	5	3	1	1	+3	+2.0	10
4	Bristol City	5	3	1	1	+2	-4.2	10
5	West Brom	5	3	1	1	+2	-1.9	10
6	Charlton	5	3	1	1	-1	-4.4	10
7	Millwall	5	3	0	2	+2	+2.3	9
8	Southampton	5	2	2	1	+5	+3.1	8
9	West Ham	5	2	2	1	+4	+0.5	8
10	Wolves	5	2	2	1	+3	+4.5	8
11	Birmingham	5	1	4	0	+1	+0.7	7
12	Wrexham	5	1	3	1	+2	+1.6	6
13	Norwich	5	2	0	3	+0	+0.4	6
14	Stoke	5	2	0	3	-1	-1.7	6
15	Portsmouth	5	2	0	3	-1	-0.2	6
16	Sheffield United	5	1	3	1	-1	-0.5	6
17	Blackburn	5	1	2	2	-1	-3.3	5
18	Watford	5	1	2	2	-2	-1.5	5
19	Lincoln	5	1	2	2	-2	+0.4	5
20	Derby	5	1	1	3	-5	-2.6	4
21	Bolton	5	1	1	3	-5	-1.1	4
22	Cardiff	5	0	3	2	-3	+0.8	3
23	Preston	5	1	0	4	-5	+0.8	3
24	Burnley	5	0	2	3	-6	-0.4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	West Brom	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.4	7
2	Southampton	2	2	0	0	+6	+3.7	6
3	West Ham	3	2	0	1	+4	+2.2	6
4	Millwall	3	2	0	1	+4	+1.7	6
5	Stoke	3	2	0	1	+4	+1.6	6
6	Middlesbrough	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.9	6
7	Charlton	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.6	6
8	Swansea	3	1	2	0	+2	-0.9	5
9	Wolves	2	1	1	0	+3	+3.1	4
10	Watford	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.2	4
11	QPR	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.6	4
12	Sheffield United	3	1	1	1	-1	-0.5	4
13	Norwich	2	1	0	1	+2	+2.0	3
14	Birmingham	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.0	3
15	Blackburn	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.9	3
16	Bolton	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.5	3
17	Bristol City	2	1	0	1	-1	-3.6	3
18	Portsmouth	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.1	3
19	Preston	3	1	0	2	-3	+0.2	3
20	Cardiff	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.4	2
21	Burnley	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.0	2
22	Lincoln	3	0	2	1	-2	+2.6	2
23	Wrexham	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.1	1
24	Derby	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bristol City	3	2	1	0	+3	-0.6	7
2	Swansea	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.3	6
3	QPR	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.3	6
4	Wrexham	3	1	2	0	+3	+0.5	5
5	Birmingham	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.7	4
6	Wolves	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.4	4
7	Middlesbrough	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.5	4
8	Charlton	3	1	1	1	-3	-3.8	4
9	Portsmouth	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.3	3
10	Lincoln	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.2	3
11	West Brom	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.3	3
12	Derby	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.0	3
13	Norwich	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.7	3
14	Millwall	2	1	0	1	-2	+0.6	3
15	West Ham	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.7	2
16	Sheffield United	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
17	Southampton	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.6	2
18	Blackburn	3	0	2	1	-1	-2.3	2
19	Cardiff	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.4	1
20	Watford	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.3	1
21	Bolton	3	0	1	2	-5	-1.6	1
22	Preston	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.6	0
23	Burnley	2	0	0	2	-5	-1.4	0
24	Stoke	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Feb -26 Preston – Watford 2–2 25. Nov -25 Watford – Preston 1–1 21. Jan -25 Watford – Preston 1–2 2. Oct -24 Preston – Watford 3–0 6. Apr -24 Watford – Preston 0–0

Match report

Watford Preston

5′

⚽ Callum Lang 0–1

Othmane Maamma 🔁

↦ Rocco Vata

45′

Stephy Mavididi 🔁

↦ Amin Nabizada

45′

Iker Bravo 🔁

↦ Martin Payero

45′

Half-time 0–1

Jordan Zemura 🔁

↦ Haktab Omar Traore

61′

62′

🟨 Andrija Vukčević

66′

🔁 Delano Burgzorg

↦ Johnny Kenny

66′

🔁 Stanley Mills

↦ Andrija Vukčević

67′

🟨 Lewis Gibson

1–1 Edo Kayembe ⚽

69′

75′

🔁 Jusef Erabi

↦ Callum Lang

75′

🔁 Liam Gibbs

↦ Leo Leroy

2–1 Mamadou Doumbia ⚽

Iker Bravo

76′

82′

🔁 Thierry Small

↦ Alfie Devine

Luca Kjerrumgaard 🔁

↦ Mamadou Doumbia

88′

Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Watford

4-2-3-1

F. Ravaglia G

O. Traoré D

M. Pollock D

S. Coulibaly D

K. Keben D

E. Kayembe M

H. Kyprianou M

Amin Nabizada M

M. Payero M

R. Vata M

M. Doumbia F

Bench (8)

26 D. Bachmann

17 Iker Bravo

9 L. Kjerrumgaard

7 O. Maamma

45 S. Mavididi

24 S. Walker

33 J. Zemura

56 Albert Eames

Coach: A. Dionisi

Preston

5-3-2

D. Iversen G

H. Clarke D

J. Storey D

O. Offiah D

L. Gibson D

A. Vukčević D

L. Leroy M

A. Devine M

J. Thompson M

C. Lang F

J. Kenny F

Bench (9)

6 L. Lindsay

17 S. Mills

23 A. Moran

21 L. Nicholls

11 T. Small

12 C. Wiley

20 L. Gibbs

9 J. Erabi

37 D. Burgzorg

Coach: P. Heckingbottom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

2,09

🔒

Dafabet 2,15 Superbet 2,15 Betfair 2,10 888Sport 2,10 Pinnacle 2,10 BetVictor 2,10 William Hill 2,10 SBO 2,09 Betano 2,07 1xBet 2,05 Bet365 2,05 Unibet 2,04 Marathonbet 2,01 10Bet 2,00

3,44

🔒

Marathonbet 3,52 Pinnacle 3,51 10Bet 3,50 1xBet 3,50 BetVictor 3,50 Dafabet 3,45 Superbet 3,45 Bet365 3,40 Betano 3,40 Betfair 3,40 Unibet 3,35 888Sport 3,25 William Hill 3,25 SBO 3,16

3,42

🔒

Pinnacle 3,67 Betano 3,65 10Bet 3,55 Bet365 3,50 Unibet 3,50 Betfair 3,50 Dafabet 3,50 Marathonbet 3,44 1xBet 3,40 Superbet 3,40 BetVictor 3,40 888Sport 3,30 William Hill 3,30 SBO 3,16

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

1,28

🔒

Betano 1,31 10Bet 1,30 888Sport 1,29 Superbet 1,29 BetVictor 1,29 Bet365 1,28 Unibet 1,28 Pinnacle 1,28 Betfair 1,25 1xBet 1,23 Marathonbet 1,23

U1,5

3,50

🔒

Pinnacle 3,81 Bet365 3,75 Betfair 3,70 Superbet 3,65 Betano 3,50 888Sport 3,50 10Bet 3,45 1xBet 3,44 Marathonbet 3,44 Unibet 3,40 BetVictor 3,20

O2,5 ✓

1,86

🔒

Betano 1,93 Unibet 1,93 Pinnacle 1,92 Superbet 1,92 Bet365 1,91 SBO 1,90 10Bet 1,90 1xBet 1,88 Betfair 1,87 Marathonbet 1,87 888Sport 1,85 BetVictor 1,83

U2,5

1,88

🔒

Pinnacle 1,97 SBO 1,94 Bet365 1,91 Betano 1,91 Superbet 1,90 Marathonbet 1,90 1xBet 1,89 10Bet 1,87 Betfair 1,87 888Sport 1,85 BetVictor 1,84 Unibet 1,83

O3,5

3,20

🔒