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Super League
Referee: I Vad II
0–0
Full-time
Panathinaikos
U U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
This season — Super League · 34/38 matches
Win Ø 45%
50%
39%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
32%
34%
Both score Ø 37%
32%
42%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
0,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
19 Shots 3
7 Shots on target 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 4
0 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 5. · Panathinaikos 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 38 28 8 2 +61 92
2 PAOK 38 20 11 7 +30 71
3 AEK 37 19 7 11 +9 64
4 Aris 35 17 9 9 +15 60
5 Aris Thessalonikis 34 17 8 9 +15 59
6 Panathinaikos 38 15 11 12 +9 56
7 Asteras Tripolis 38 12 15 11 -5 51
8 Volos NFC 34 10 13 11 -5 43
9 Giannina 33 9 10 14 -5 37
10 Atromitos 34 7 14 13 -14 35
11 Lamia 34 8 11 15 -22 35
12 Apollon 33 8 7 18 -14 31
13 OFI Crete 34 8 7 19 -21 31
14 Panetolikos 34 6 10 18 -25 28
15 Larisa 34 5 9 20 -28 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aris Thessalonikis Panathinaikos
Georgios Delizisis 🟨
9′
10′
🟨 Federico Macheda
17′
🟨 Sotiris Alexandropoulos
Half-time 0–0
53′
🔁 F. Sánchez
↦ B. Schenkeveld
Bruno Gama 🔁
↦ F. Bertoglio
64′
64′
🔁 Maurício
↦ Carlitos López
64′
🔁 F. Ioannidis
↦ T. Chatzigiovanis
71′
🟥 Achilleas Poungouras
73′
🟨 Sokratis Dioudis
75′
🔁 D. Karagiannis
↦ F. Macheda
76′
🔁 I. Bouzoukis
↦ Y. Sankharé
Bruno Souza 🔁
↦ D. Mancini
79′
D. Sundgren 🔁
↦ E. Sakic
85′
Dimitrios Manos 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Maurício
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1
23 Julián G
92 L. Rose D
66 E. Sakic M
5 G. Delizisis D
22 C. Ganea D
26 Matilla M
18 F. Bertoglio M
88 Lucas Sasha M
10 M. García M
7 D. Mancini M
9 D. Manos F
Bench (9)
16 Bruno Gama
77 Bruno Souza
21 D. Sundgren
29 Y. Benalouane
99 M. Siampanis
3 A. Martinis
40 P. Bagalianis
17 Xande Silva
8 L. Duarte

Coach: A. Mantzios

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1
1 S. Dioudis G
5 B. Schenkeveld D
3 Juan Carlos D
44 A. Poungouras D
6 Y. Sankharé M
58 Y. Mollo M
19 L. Villafáñez M
11 T. Chatzigiovanis M
55 S. Alexandropoulos M
9 F. Macheda F
10 Carlitos López F
Bench (9)
14 F. Sánchez
88 Maurício
27 F. Ioannidis
38 D. Karagiannis
18 I. Bouzoukis
7 António Xavier
23 Y. N'Gbakoto
8 Y. Ayoub
68 N. Christogeorgos

Coach: S. Silaidopoulos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

I Vad II · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.