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Super League

Referee: V Fotias

Panathinaikos

S T S S S

2–0

Full-time

Aris Thessalonikis

S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Aris Thessalonikis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 17%

17%

Average goals

2,2

1,8

Scored

1,8

0,7

Conceded

0,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,5

This season — Super League · 16/15 matches

Win Ø 52%

50%

53%

Points per game

1,6

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

38%

33%

Both score Ø 32%

31%

33%

Average goals

2,4

2,0

Scored

1,6

1,1

Conceded

0,8

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%

11 Shots 2

6 Shots on target 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 3

17 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Panathinaikos 7. · Aris Thessalonikis 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	17	14	3	0	+20	45
2	AEK	17	11	3	3	+14	36
3	PAOK	16	9	1	6	+10	28
4	Giannina	17	8	4	5	+9	28
5	Aris Thessalonikis	15	8	3	4	+4	27
6	Aris	16	8	3	5	+2	27
7	Panathinaikos	16	8	2	6	+14	26
8	OFI Crete	17	5	9	3	+2	24
9	Asteras Tripolis	17	5	5	7	+0	20
10	Ionikos	18	4	5	9	-8	17
11	Volos NFC	15	4	3	8	-6	15
12	Panetolikos	16	4	3	9	-15	15
13	Lamia	17	2	5	10	-10	11
14	Apollon	14	1	6	7	-16	9
15	Atromitos	16	2	3	11	-20	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	9	7	2	0	+9	23
2	Panathinaikos	9	7	1	1	+17	22
3	AEK	8	6	0	2	+8	18
4	Aris Thessalonikis	7	4	2	1	+2	14
5	Aris	7	4	2	1	+2	14
6	Giannina	9	4	2	3	+0	14
7	PAOK	8	4	1	3	+4	13
8	Asteras Tripolis	8	4	1	3	+3	13
9	Ionikos	8	3	3	2	+1	12
10	OFI Crete	9	2	5	2	-1	11
11	Volos NFC	8	3	0	5	-2	9
12	Panetolikos	8	2	2	4	-3	8
13	Apollon	7	1	4	2	-2	7
14	Atromitos	8	2	1	5	-5	7
15	Lamia	9	0	3	6	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	8	7	1	0	+11	22
2	AEK	9	5	3	1	+6	18
3	PAOK	8	5	0	3	+6	15
4	Giannina	8	4	2	2	+9	14
5	OFI Crete	8	3	4	1	+3	13
6	Aris Thessalonikis	8	4	1	3	+2	13
7	Aris	9	4	1	4	+0	13
8	Lamia	8	2	2	4	-2	8
9	Asteras Tripolis	9	1	4	4	-3	7
10	Panetolikos	8	2	1	5	-12	7
11	Volos NFC	7	1	3	3	-4	6
12	Ionikos	10	1	2	7	-9	5
13	Panathinaikos	7	1	1	5	-3	4
14	Apollon	7	0	2	5	-14	2
15	Atromitos	8	0	2	6	-15	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.