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Europa League
Referee: A Lindhout
Olympiakos
S S S S U
2–3
Full-time
Freiburg
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Freiburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
2,8
1,3
Conceded
0,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+2,5
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

2,39 xG 1,60
47% Possession 53%
17 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Oct -22 Freiburg – Olympiakos 1–1 15. Sep -22 Olympiakos – Freiburg 0–3

Match report

Olympiakos Freiburg
9′
⚽ R. Sallai 0–1
Iborra 🔁
↦ S. Hezze
24′
25′
🟨 Lucas Höler
Ayoub El Kaabi 🟨
35′
1–1 A. El Kaabi ⚽
Rodinei
40′
Half-time 1–1
Daniel Podence 🔁
↦ Pep Biel
46′
52′
⚽ V. Grifo 1–2
52′
🟨 Kenneth Schmidt
55′
🔁 K. Sildillia
↦ K. Schmidt
S. Jovetić 🔁
↦ G. Masouras
61′
68′
🟨 Roland Sallai
2–2 A. El Kaabi ⚽
K. Fortounis
74′
76′
🔁 M. Philipp
↦ R. Sallai
76′
🔁 N. Weißhaupt
↦ V. Grifo
O. Solbakken 🔁
↦ K. Fortounis
78′
Quini 🔁
↦ F. Ortega
78′
Daniel Podence 🟨
85′
86′
⚽ M. Philipp 2–3
P. Lienhart
92′
🔁 J. Adamu
↦ R. Doan
92′
🔁 Y. Keitel
↦ L. Höler
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
1 A. Paschalakis G
23 Rodinei D
45 P. Retsos D
16 N. Freire D
3 F. Ortega D
32 S. Hezze M
4 M. Camara M
7 K. Fortounis M
21 Pep Biel M
19 G. Masouras M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (12)
8 Iborra
56 Daniel Podence
22 S. Jovetić
98 O. Solbakken
18 Quini
25 J. Porozo
11 Y. El-Arabi
74 A. Ntoi
10 Gustavo Scarpa
15 S. Alexandropoulos
88 K. Tzolakis
17 M. Vrousai

Coach: Diego Martínez

Freiburg

4-2-3-1
1 N. Atubolu G
17 L. Kübler D
28 M. Ginter D
3 P. Lienhart D
4 K. Schmidt D
8 M. Eggestein M
27 N. Höfler M
42 R. Doan M
22 R. Sallai M
32 V. Grifo M
9 L. Höler F
Bench (10)
25 K. Sildillia
26 M. Philipp
7 N. Weißhaupt
20 J. Adamu
14 Y. Keitel
58 N. Sauter
34 M. Röhl
21 F. Müller
44 M. Breunig
33 J. Makengo

Coach: C. Streich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Lindhout · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.