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Süper Lig
Referee: K Sağlam
Antalyaspor
U S S S S
4–1
Full-time
Hatayspor
S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antalyaspor Hatayspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,7
This season — Süper Lig · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 42%
39%
45%
Points per game
1,4
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
48%
58%
Both score Ø 50%
48%
52%
Average goals
2,4
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

55% Possession 45%
14 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Antalyaspor 10. · Hatayspor 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 32 21 9 2 +32 72
2 Fenerbahce 32 17 8 7 +21 59
3 Konyaspor 32 17 7 8 +17 58
4 Buyuksehyr 32 16 5 11 +14 53
5 Ad. Demirspor 32 14 10 8 +16 52
6 Alanyaspor 32 15 7 10 +6 52
7 Besiktas 32 13 11 8 +8 50
8 Hatayspor 31 14 6 11 +2 48
9 Karagumruk 32 13 7 12 -8 46
10 Antalyaspor 31 12 8 11 -1 44
11 Kasimpasa 32 11 8 13 +2 41
12 Sivasspor 32 10 11 11 +0 41
13 Gaziantep 32 11 8 13 -3 41
14 Galatasaray 32 11 8 13 -5 41
15 Kayserispor 32 11 8 13 -8 41
16 Giresunspor 32 11 6 15 -4 39
17 Altay 32 8 5 19 -15 29
18 Rizespor 32 8 5 19 -26 29
19 Goztep 32 7 6 19 -18 27
20 Yeni Malatyaspor 32 5 5 22 -30 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antalyaspor Hatayspor
Fernando 🟨
8′
1–0 H. Wright
G. Vural
16′
2–0 Naldo
Fernando
29′
3–0 H. Wright
G. Vural
35′
38′
M. Diouf 3–1
B. Öksüz
Half-time 4–1
4–1 Luiz Adriano
D. Sinik
55′
60′
🔁 D. Saint-Louis
↦ A. El Kaabi
G. Bayrakdar 🔁
↦ A. Ndao
61′
A. Poli 🔁
↦ H. Özmert
62′
67′
🟥 Rúben Ribeiro
H. Ghacha 🔁
↦ D. Sinik
69′
74′
🟨 Saba Lobjanidze
75′
🔁 S. Temel
↦ Y. Benzia
75′
🔁 S. Baş
↦ S. Lobzhanidze
B. Öztürk 🔁
↦ V. Sarı
85′
Fredy 🔁
↦ H. Wright
85′
86′
🔁 B. Yıldırım
↦ M. Diouf
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Antalyaspor

4-2-3-1
25 R. Boffin G
89 V. Sarı D
4 Naldo D
2 S. Floranus D
88 H. Özmert M
11 G. Vural D
20 Fernando M
7 D. Sinik M
28 A. Ndao M
70 Luiz Adriano M
9 H. Wright F
Bench (10)
41 G. Bayrakdar
15 A. Poli
27 H. Ghacha
5 B. Öztürk
16 Fredy
13 F. Kudryashov
8 N. Şahin
77 B. Balcı
30 A. Dadakdeniz
38 M. Erdilman

Coach: A. Groenendijk

Hatayspor

4-2-3-1
1 M. Mohamedi G
12 K. Çörekçi D
23 S. Adekugbe D
53 B. Öksüz D
22 F. Kurucuk D
7 Rúben Ribeiro M
76 Y. Benzia M
11 S. Lobzhanidze M
4 O. Ergün M
92 M. Diouf F
25 A. El Kaabi M
Bench (10)
95 D. Saint-Louis
16 S. Temel
77 S. Baş
99 B. Yıldırım
87 E. Fansa
19 M. Mert
9 Kahraba
31 A. Yiğiter
6 S. Falette
37 E. Kaplan

Coach: Ö. Erdoğan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,15
U
3,49
B
3,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,93
U2,5
1,85
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Sağlam · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.