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Puchar Polski
1–1
Full-time
Cracovia
T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Znicz Pruszków Cracovia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Podhale Nowy Targ 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Olimpia Grudziądz 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Śląsk Wrocław II 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Górnik Łęczna 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Nieciecza 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Motor Lublin 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Stal Rzeszów 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Piast Gliwice 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 2 1 0 1 +2 3
10 Znicz Pruszków 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Puszcza 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Polonia Środa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Pogoń Siedlce 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Wisla Plock 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Odra Opole 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Lechia Gdansk 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Resovia Rzeszów 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Polonia Warszawa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Tychy 71 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Radomiak Radom 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Podbeskidzie 2 1 0 1 -1 3
23 Stal Mielec 1 0 1 0 +0 1
24 Unia Skierniewice 1 0 1 0 +0 1
25 Sokół Kleczew 1 0 1 0 +0 1
26 Górnik Zabrze II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
27 Stal Stalowa Wola 1 0 0 1 -1 0
28 Zaglebie 1 0 0 1 -1 0
29 Kluczevia Stargard 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Luzino 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 Wisla 1 0 0 1 -1 0
32 Kluczbork 1 0 0 1 -1 0
33 Warta Poznan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
34 Górnik Polkowice 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Korona Kielce II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Świt Skolwin 1 0 0 1 -2 0
38 ŁKS Łódź II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
39 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -2 0
40 Beskid 1 0 0 1 -2 0
41 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
42 Kalisz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
43 Chojniczanka Chojnice 1 0 0 1 -2 0
44 Wisła Płock II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 Legia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
46 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1 0 0 1 -3 0
47 Chemik Bydgoszcz 1 0 0 1 -3 0
48 Wigry Suwałki 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Znicz Pruszków Cracovia
A. Nadolski 🟨
10′
36′
🟨 M. Praszelik
V. Okhronchuk 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–0
A. Ratajczyk 🔁
↦ D. Szafranski
46′
A. Redlinski 🔁
↦ M. Jelenski
46′
M. Borecki 🔁
↦ V. Okhronchuk
46′
55′
🔁 M. Berte
↦ K. Zahiroleslam
55′
🔁 M. Klich
↦ K. Knap
61′
🔁 O. Kakabadze
↦ D. Baumgartner
M. Glowinski 🔁
↦ A. Bartoszewicz
68′
J. Kosmalski 🔁
↦ N. Zawistowski
72′
80′
A. Hasic 0–1
81′
🔁 D. Kameri
↦ M. Praszelik
81′
🔁 M. Minchev
↦ S. Ltaief
89′
🟨 O. Kakabadze
1–1 T. Proczek
90′
M. Pawlik 🔁
↦ F. Holuj
93′
101′
🟨 M. Klich
106′
🟨 B. Selan
M. Glowinski 🟨
107′
114′
🟨 D. Pila
115′
🟨 A. Hasic
121′
A. Hasic 1–2
2–2 D. Barnowski
121′
122′
M. Klich 2–3
3–3 T. Proczek
122′
123′
D. Kameri
penalty missed
4–3 A. Ratajczyk
123′
124′
M. Perkovic
penalty missed
M. Glowinski
penalty missed
124′
M. Borecki
penalty missed
125′
125′
O. Kakabadze 4–4
J. Kosmalski
penalty missed
126′
126′
B. Traore
penalty missed
5–4 A. Nadolski
127′
127′
M. Berte
penalty missed
Full-time 5–4

Line-ups

Znicz Pruszków

1 N. Gzowski
2 M. Jelenski
3 F. Holuj
10 J. Jach
7 D. Barnowski
37 N. Zawistowski
8 A. Nadolski
14 V. Okhronchuk
11 T. Proczek
16 D. Szafranski
9 A. Bartoszewicz
Bench (9)
23 K. Napieraj
5 M. Broniewski
6 M. Pawlik
20 M. Borecki
21 A. Redlinski
22 A. Ratajczyk
25 J. Kosmalski
13 B. Mazurek
15 M. Glowinski

Coach: Lukasz Smolarow

Cracovia

13 S. Madejski
79 D. Pila
22 D. Baumgartner
61 B. Traore
39 M. Perkovic
5 B. Selan
20 K. Knap
14 A. Hasic
7 M. Praszelik
47 S. Ltaief
18 K. Zahiroleslam
Bench (9)
23 H. Ravas
15 K. Glik
17 M. Minchev
25 O. Kakabadze
28 V. Burlet
29 W. Dej
43 M. Klich
70 D. Kameri
90 M. Berte

Coach: Bartosz Grzelak

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.