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Puchar Polski
Referee: S Rasmus
3–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chojniczanka Chojnice Znicz Pruszków
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/3 matches
Win Ø 47%
60%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
80%
33%
Both score Ø 57%
80%
33%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olimpia Grudziądz 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Kotwica Kołobrzeg 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Hutnik Kraków 2 1 1 0 +3 4
5 Stal Stalowa Wola 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Polonia Bytom 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Lech Poznań II 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Odra Opole 1 1 0 0 +5 3
9 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Pogon Szczecin 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Wigry Suwałki 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Widzew Lodz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Podbeskidzie 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Lechia Zielona Góra 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Ruch Chorzow 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Chojniczanka Chojnice 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 GKS Katowice 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Polonia Warszawa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Kluczbork 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Warta Poznan 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 ŁKS Łódź II 2 1 0 1 +0 3
22 Piast Gliwice 1 0 1 0 +0 1
23 Avia Świdnik 1 0 1 0 +0 1
24 Arka Gdynia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
25 Korona Kielce 1 0 1 0 +0 1
26 Stal Mielec 1 0 1 0 +0 1
27 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 1 0 +0 1
28 Lechia Gdansk 1 0 1 0 +0 1
29 Górnik Łęczna 1 0 1 0 +0 1
30 Puszcza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Legnica 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Rakow 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Barycz Sułów 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Wisła Puławy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 Cracovia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Nieciecza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Radunia Stężyca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Chrobry Głogów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Unia Swarzędz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Wisla Plock 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
44 Tychy 71 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 Świt Skolwin 1 0 0 1 -2 0
46 Elana Toruń 1 0 0 1 -2 0
47 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
48 Pogoń Siedlce 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 Kalisz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 Concordia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 Jastrzębie 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Podhale Nowy Targ 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
54 Star Starachowice 1 0 0 1 -3 0
55 Stal Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -3 0
56 Podbeskidzie II 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Chojniczanka Chojnice Znicz Pruszków
10′
🔁 B. Ciepiela
↦ K. Tabara
1–0 M. Kozina
17′
24′
D. Stanclik 1–1
36′
D. Olejarka 1–2
Half-time 1–2
D. Kamiński 🔁
↦ B. Pikul
46′
V. Šabala 🔁
↦ P. Sajdak
46′
46′
🔁 V. Okhronchuk
↦ P. Plewka
46′
🔁 W. Nowak
↦ F. Kendzia
🟨
58′
64′
🔁 D. Sokół
↦ D. Stanclik
2–2 M. Bąkowicz
71′
🟨
72′
76′
🔁 A. Kazimierczak
↦ B. Ciepiela
A. Káčerík 🔁
↦ M. Kozina
79′
88′
🟨
3–2 D. Kamiński
90′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Chojniczanka Chojnice

M. Antkowiak
T. Boczek
M. Tkocz
M. Bąkowicz
B. Czajka
B. Pikul
D. Nowacki
P. Sajdak
B. Szczepanek
M. Kozina
J. Branecki
Bench (9)
D. Kamiński
V. Šabala
A. Káčerík
D. Primel
J. Goliński
João Guilherme
K. Korczyc
P. Olejnik
T. Mikołajczak

Coach: D. Nowak

Znicz Pruszków

B. Klebaniuk
F. Kendzia
O. Koprowski
D. Yukhymovych
J. Marcinkowski
P. Plewka
K. Tabara
T. Proczek
D. Olejarka
D. Stanclik
M. Karol
Bench (8)
B. Ciepiela
V. Okhronchuk
W. Nowak
D. Sokół
A. Kazimierczak
K. Flisiuk
M. Sypniewski
P. Moskwik

Coach: G. Szoka

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.