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DBU Pokalen
Referee: K Madsen
Naestved
S T S S T
0–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Naestved Hillerød
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
3,5
4,0
Scored
2,7
2,7
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fredericia 1 1 0 0 +8 3
2 Esbjerg 1 1 0 0 +8 3
3 Kolding IF 1 1 0 0 +6 3
4 Frem 1 1 0 0 +5 3
5 Fremad Amager 1 1 0 0 +5 3
6 HB Koge 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Næsby 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 OKS 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Allerød 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Hobro 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Skive 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Gørslev 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Brabrand 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Roskilde 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 VSK Århus 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 NB Bornholm 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Morud/Veflinge 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 ACFC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Brønshøj 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Hvidovre IF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 B 93 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Vendsyssel FF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Nykobing FC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Herlev 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Kolding B 1 0 1 0 +0 1
26 Dalum 1 0 1 0 +0 1
27 Middelfart 1 0 1 0 +0 1
28 Odense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
29 Skjold Birkerød 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Tarup-Paarup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 LKB-Gistrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
32 Ringsted 1 0 0 1 -1 0
33 Kastrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
34 Karlslunde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 Lyseng 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Svebølle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Vigerslev 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Sundby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
39 Christiansbjerg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
40 HIK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
41 Odder 1 0 0 1 -2 0
42 B 1960 1 0 0 1 -3 0
43 Gug 1 0 0 1 -3 0
44 Aalborg Chang 1 0 0 1 -3 0
45 FA 2000 1 0 0 1 -4 0
46 ØB 1 0 0 1 -4 0
47 Skjern 1 0 0 1 -4 0
48 Bagsværd 1 0 0 1 -5 0
49 ESPM 1 0 0 1 -5 0
50 Varde 1 0 0 1 -6 0
51 Ringkøbing 1 0 0 1 -8 0
52 Fredericia FF 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Naestved Hillerød
14′
M. Bruhn 0–1
Half-time 0–1
M. Kongstedt 🔁
↦ J. Christiansen
46′
M. Rugaard 🔁
↦ I. Hassan
46′
55′
🔁 R. Møller
↦ J. Witt
55′
🔁 M. Due Grandt
↦ B. Kücükylidiz
60′
🔁 T. Arndal
↦ S. Opoku
60′
🔁 M. Bay
↦ A. Alicino
P. Allentoft 🔁
↦ L. Bust
64′
K. Blaabjerg 🔁
↦ M. Kisum
64′
M. Villadsen 🔁
↦ M. Mølvadgaard
75′
80′
🔁 M. Etim
↦ D. Bagou
86′
M. Etim 0–2
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Naestved

29 M. Meldgaard
24 S. Blynov
22 J. Christiansen
4 L. Bust
2 P. Banda
3 I. Hassan
14 M. Kisum
26 Marius Christiansen
16 M. Jørgensen
28 M. Juul Andersen
23 M. Mølvadgaard
Bench (8)
8 M. Kongstedt
19 M. Rugaard
27 P. Allentoft
25 K. Blaabjerg
15 M. Villadsen
1 J. Jørgensen
17 V. Mikkelsen
18 G. Møller

Coach: R. Skovdahl

Hillerød

26 A. Mayland
27 D. Johansen
4 G. Arndal-Lauritzen
7 J. Witt
18 S. Sharif
14 S. Opoku
34 A. Alicino
20 B. Kücükylidiz
22 F. Karlsen
19 D. Bagou
11 M. Bruhn
Bench (9)
2 R. Møller
6 M. Due Grandt
8 T. Arndal
10 M. Bay
9 M. Etim
3 C. Allen
5 L. Bøje-Larsen
17 A. Justinussen
1 B. Asare

Coach: C. Lønstrup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.