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Bundesliga

Referee: F Willenborg

RB Leipzig

S S S S T

5–1

Full-time

Stuttgart

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Stuttgart

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 83%

83%

Points per game

2,5

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

3,8

Scored

2,3

3,3

Conceded

1,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+2,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

5,0

Scored

2,0

5,0

Conceded

3,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+5,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,76 xG 1,13

54% Possession 46%

20 Shots 8

11 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 4

4 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match RB Leipzig 11. · Stuttgart 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+5	+2.3	3
2	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.3	3
3	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.4	3
4	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
5	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
6	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
7	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
8	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
9	Augsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
10	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
11	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
12	Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
13	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
14	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
15	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
16	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.4	0
17	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.3	0
18	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-5	-2.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+5	+2.3	3
2	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.4	3
3	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
4	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
5	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
6	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
7	Augsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
8	Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
9	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.3	3
2	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
3	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
4	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
5	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
6	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
7	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
8	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.4	0
9	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-5	-2.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.