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Eredivisie
Referee: D Makkelie
Nijmegen
U S S S T
5–0
Full-time
Excelsior
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nijmegen Excelsior
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,8
6,2
Scored
1,8
3,7
Conceded
1,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,48 xG 1,03
62% Possession 38%
15 Shots 9
10 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. May -24 Excelsior – Nijmegen 0–3 13. Aug -23 Nijmegen – Excelsior 3–4 19. Feb -23 Excelsior – Nijmegen 0–3 8. Oct -22 Nijmegen – Excelsior 1–1 22. Apr -17 Nijmegen – Excelsior 0–1

Match report

Nijmegen Excelsior
1–0 D. Proper ⚽
B. Onal
14′
16′
🟨 Adam Carlén
30′
🔁 T. Holla
↦ S. van Gassel
Başar Önal 🟨
43′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 K. Ogawa ⚽
B. Linssen
52′
58′
🔁 D. Yoon
↦ D. Sanches Fernandes
3–0 K. Ogawa ⚽
B. Onal
59′
4–0 B. Linssen ⚽
T. Chery
67′
V. Misidjan 🔁
↦ B. Onal
71′
R. Gonzalez 🔁
↦ B. Linssen
71′
71′
🔁 R. Meissen
↦ S. Middendorp
71′
🔁 Z. Booth
↦ N. Naujoks
71′
🔁 J. Bergraaf
↦ M. van Duinen
Y. El Kachati 🔁
↦ K. Ogawa
77′
S. de Laat 🔁
↦ P. Sandler
77′
5–0 T. Chery ⚽
82′
V. van Crooij 🔁
↦ T. Chery
83′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Nijmegen

3-4-2-1
1 G. Crettaz G
2 B. Pereira D
3 P. Sandler D
24 C. Verdonk D
25 S. Ouaissa M
23 K. Sano M
71 D. Proper M
11 B. Onal M
9 T. Chery F
30 B. Linssen F
18 K. Ogawa F
Bench (12)
22 J. Cillessen
36 F. Entius
15 J. Willems
5 T. Ouwejan
7 V. Misidjan
8 A. Darelas
10 S. Hansen
21 R. Gonzalez
32 V. van Crooij
33 Y. Sbai
34 Y. El Kachati
35 S. de Laat

Coach: Dick Schreuder

Excelsior

4-2-3-1
1 S. van Gassel G
2 I. Bronkhorst D
4 C. Widell D
5 S. Henderikx D
12 A. Zagre D
6 A. Carlen M
25 S. Middendorp M
30 D. Sanches Fernandes M
10 N. Naujoks M
11 G. de Regt M
29 M. van Duinen F
Bench (8)
40 T. Holla
3 R. Meissen
7 D. Yoon
17 N. Martens
21 Z. Booth
24 G. Cairo
28 N. Groen
33 J. Bergraaf

Coach: Ruben den Uil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,75
🔒
U
3,73
🔒
B
4,39
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,76
🔒
U2,5
1,98
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.