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Championship
Referee: S Allison
Middlesbrough
U U T S S
1–0
Full-time
Swansea
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middlesbrough Swansea
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
2,5
1,7
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,86 xG 0,47
36% Possession 64%
18 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 0
7 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 9
3 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Apr -24 Middlesbrough – Swansea 2–0 16. Dec -23 Swansea – Middlesbrough 1–2 11. Mar -23 Swansea – Middlesbrough 1–3 27. Aug -22 Middlesbrough – Swansea 2–1 23. Apr -22 Swansea – Middlesbrough 1–1

Match report

Middlesbrough Swansea
14′
🟨 Ben Cabango
1–0 E. Latte Lath ⚽
25′
Lukas Engel 🟨
39′
43′
🟨 Gonçalo Franco
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Ronald
↦ A. Abdulai
63′
🔁 K. Naughton
↦ J. Key
64′
🔁 Ž. Vipotnik
↦ J. Fulton
76′
🟨 Josh Tymon
78′
🔁 O. Cooper
↦ Gonçalo Franco
D. Burgzorg 🔁
↦ F. Azaz
81′
J. Coburn 🔁
↦ E. Latte Lath
86′
93′
🔁 J. Thomas
↦ Eom Ji-Sung
94′
🟨 Josh Thomas
J. Howson 🔁
↦ R. McGree
95′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Middlesbrough

4-2-3-1
1 S. Dieng G
12 L. Ayling D
3 R. van den Berg D
5 M. Clarke D
27 L. Engel D
18 A. Morris M
7 H. Hackney M
11 I. Jones M
20 F. Azaz M
8 R. McGree M
9 E. Latte Lath F
Bench (9)
10 D. Burgzorg
19 J. Coburn
16 J. Howson
15 A. Dijksteel
23 T. Glover
17 M. Hamilton
14 A. Gilbert
37 G. McCormick
4 D. Barlaser

Coach: M. Carrick

Swansea

4-1-4-1
22 L. Vigouroux G
2 J. Key D
5 B. Cabango D
6 H. Darling D
14 J. Tymon D
8 M. Grimes M
10 Eom Ji-Sung M
4 J. Fulton M
17 Gonçalo Franco M
47 A. Abdulai M
20 L. Cullen F
Bench (9)
35 Ronald
26 K. Naughton
9 Ž. Vipotnik
31 O. Cooper
44 J. Thomas
29 N. Broome
43 D. Watts
21 N. Tjoe-A-On
3 K. Pedersen

Coach: L. Williams

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,83
🔒
U
3,77
🔒
B
4,16
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,74
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,09
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Allison · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.