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Championship
Referee: S Martin
Charlton
T T S S T
1–0
Full-time
Watford
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charlton Watford
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
4,0
2,2
Scored
2,5
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,16 xG 0,72
42% Possession 58%
12 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 2
6 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Charlton Watford
25′
🟨 Hector Kyprianou
Half-time 0–0
Greg Docherty 🟨
48′
52′
🟨 Kwadwo Baah
63′
🔁 N. Irankunda
↦ K. Baah
M. Leaburn 🔁
↦ C. Kelman
71′
72′
🔁 T. Ince
↦ M. Doumbia
72′
🔁 J. Grieves
↦ M. Sissoko
73′
🔁 E. Kayembe
↦ I. Louza
M. Gillesphey 🔁
↦ T. Campbell
80′
H. Knibbs 🔁
↦ J. Edwards
80′
T. Olaofe 🔁
↦ S. Carey
86′
87′
🔁 M. Alleyne
↦ J. Abankwah
1–0 H. Knibbs ⚽
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Charlton

4-2-3-1
1 T. Kaminski G
2 K. Ramsay D
5 L. Jones D
17 A. Bell D
16 J. Edwards D
6 C. Coventry M
10 G. Docherty M
30 R. Apter M
14 S. Carey M
7 T. Campbell
23 C. Kelman F
Bench (9)
3 M. Gillesphey
4 A. Mitchell
8 L. Berry
11 M. Leaburn
18 K. Anderson
22 T. Olaofe
25 W. Mannion
26 J. Rankin-Costello
41 H. Knibbs

Coach: Nathan Jones

Watford

4-3-3
1 E. Selvik G
2 J. Ngakia D
4 K. Keben D
25 J. Abankwah D
16 M. Bola D
17 M. Sissoko M
10 I. Louza M
5 H. Kyprianou M
34 K. Baah F
9 L. Kjerrumgaard F
20 M. Doumbia F
Bench (9)
3 M. Alleyne
7 T. Ince
12 N. Baxter
18 V. Semedo
24 T. Dele-Bashiru
39 E. Kayembe
43 J. Grieves
45 R. Andrews
66 N. Irankunda

Coach: Edward Still

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,47
🔒
U
3,24
🔒
B
2,88
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,12
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,67
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Martin · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.