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Primeira Liga
Referee: S Guelho
Arouca
S T U U S
3–1
Full-time
AVS
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arouca AVS
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,10 xG 1,13
53% Possession 47%
9 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Mar -25 AVS – Arouca 0–1 5. Oct -24 Arouca – AVS 1–1

Match report

Arouca AVS
1–0 A. Trezza ⚽
H. Lee
8′
Arnau Solà 🟨
18′
Half-time 1–0
Alex Pinto 🟨
46′
A. Dante 🔁
↦ A. Sola
46′
2–0 N. Djouahra ⚽
54′
57′
🔁 Nene
↦ A. Algobia
57′
🔁 G. Neiva
↦ J. Escobar
3–0 A. Trezza ⚽
T. Fukui
62′
67′
🔁 T. Galletto
↦ Pedro Lima
D. Simao 🔁
↦ T. Fukui
71′
Puche 🔁
↦ N. Djouahra
71′
M. Flores 🔁
↦ Pedro Santos
78′
81′
🔁 G. Mendonca
↦ E. J. Mucuana Lobo
81′
🔁 D. Duarte
↦ R. Barbosa
B. Mansilla 🔁
↦ H. Lee
87′
90′
⚽ Nene 3–1
T. Akinsola
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Arouca

4-2-3-1
1 J. Valido G
78 Alex Pinto D
5 B. Popovic D
3 J. Fontan D
16 A. Sola D
89 Pedro Santos M
21 T. Fukui M
19 A. Trezza M
14 H. Lee M
7 N. Djouahra M
23 D. Nandin F
Bench (9)
58 N. Mantl
28 Tiago Esgaio
27 A. Dante
31 M. Loum
8 D. Simao
46 M. Flores
11 Puche
24 B. Mansilla
9 I. Barbero

Coach: Vasco Seabra

AVS

4-2-3-1
93 Simao G
50 E. J. Mucuana Lobo
33 A. Santos D
42 C. Devenish D
24 Kiki D
27 A. Algobia M
15 J. Grau M
11 T. Akinsola M
8 Pedro Lima M
10 R. Barbosa M
9 J. Escobar F
Bench (8)
88 Trigueira
99 Joao Goncalves
23 G. Mendonca
19 T. Galletto
77 A. Machado
18 Nene
7 D. Duarte
21 G. Neiva

Coach: Joao Henriques

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,82
🔒
U
3,49
🔒
B
4,17
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,99
🔒
U2,5
1,75
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Guelho · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Below average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.