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LaLiga2

Referee: S Lax

Malaga

S U S S U

0–0

Full-time

Almeria

T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Almeria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 44/44 matches

Win Ø 51%

50%

52%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

57%

70%

Both score Ø 67%

61%

73%

Average goals

3,0

3,4

Scored

1,8

1,9

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%

11 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 2

3 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malaga 3. · Almeria 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	42	25	7	10	+29	+0.6	82
2	Almeria	44	23	9	12	+19	+3.6	78
3	Malaga	44	22	11	11	+24	+9.2	77
4	La Coruna	42	22	11	9	+21	+2.1	77
5	Las Palmas	44	20	14	10	+16	+0.7	74
6	Castellon	44	20	13	11	+18	+8.5	73
7	Burgos	42	20	12	10	+15	+5.3	72
8	Eibar	42	19	10	13	+12	+6.0	67
9	Sp Gijon	42	18	7	17	+6	+1.2	61
10	Cordoba	42	17	10	15	-4	+8.0	61
11	Ceuta	42	17	10	15	-12	-15.2	61
12	Albacete	42	16	11	15	+1	+1.9	59
13	Andorra	42	16	10	16	+8	+2.9	58
14	Granada	42	12	12	18	-6	-1.2	48
15	Sociedad B	42	12	11	19	-9	-8.3	47
16	Leganes	42	11	13	18	-8	+2.2	46
17	Valladolid	42	12	10	20	-13	+0.1	46
18	Cadiz	42	11	10	21	-20	-8.5	43
19	Mirandes	42	10	10	22	-22	-4.7	40
20	Huesca	42	9	11	22	-22	-1.4	38
21	Cultural Leonesa	42	9	10	23	-29	-12.7	37
22	Zaragoza	42	8	12	22	-24	-0.1	36

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Almeria	22	16	2	4	+23	+9.7	50
2	Santander	21	15	2	4	+26	+5.5	47
3	Eibar	21	14	4	3	+20	+10.4	46
4	Malaga	22	12	8	2	+18	+5.3	44
5	Castellon	22	13	5	4	+17	+3.3	44
6	Las Palmas	22	12	6	4	+18	+3.2	42
7	Ceuta	21	12	4	5	+5	-0.4	40
8	Sp Gijon	21	11	6	4	+13	+3.0	39
9	Burgos	21	10	8	3	+13	+6.6	38
10	La Coruna	21	11	5	5	+9	+2.3	38
11	Cordoba	21	9	5	7	+0	+5.1	32
12	Albacete	21	9	4	8	-2	-0.2	31
13	Andorra	21	8	6	7	+6	+4.6	30
14	Sociedad B	21	7	8	6	+2	-0.2	29
15	Valladolid	21	8	5	8	+2	+4.0	29
16	Huesca	21	7	7	7	-1	+1.4	28
17	Leganes	21	7	6	8	+0	+6.6	27
18	Granada	21	6	8	7	+3	+4.3	26
19	Cadiz	21	7	2	12	-7	-1.9	23
20	Mirandes	21	6	5	10	-9	-1.6	23
21	Zaragoza	21	4	6	11	-13	+3.1	18
22	Cultural Leonesa	21	4	5	12	-17	+0.7	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	21	11	6	4	+12	-0.3	39
2	Santander	21	10	5	6	+3	-4.8	35
3	Burgos	21	10	4	7	+2	-1.3	34
4	Malaga	22	10	3	9	+6	+3.8	33
5	Las Palmas	22	8	8	6	-2	-2.5	32
6	Castellon	22	7	8	7	+1	+5.2	29
7	Cordoba	21	8	5	8	-4	+2.8	29
8	Albacete	21	7	7	7	+3	+2.1	28
9	Andorra	21	8	4	9	+2	-1.7	28
10	Almeria	22	7	7	8	-4	-6.1	28
11	Sp Gijon	21	7	1	13	-7	-1.8	22
12	Granada	21	6	4	11	-9	-5.5	22
13	Eibar	21	5	6	10	-8	-4.4	21
14	Ceuta	21	5	6	10	-17	-14.9	21
15	Cultural Leonesa	21	5	5	11	-12	-13.4	20
16	Cadiz	21	4	8	9	-13	-6.6	20
17	Leganes	21	4	7	10	-8	-4.4	19
18	Sociedad B	21	5	3	13	-11	-8.2	18
19	Zaragoza	21	4	6	11	-11	-3.2	18
20	Mirandes	21	4	5	12	-13	-3.2	17
21	Valladolid	21	4	5	12	-15	-4.0	17
22	Huesca	21	2	4	15	-21	-2.8	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.