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Ekstraklasa
Referee: W Myc
Lechia Gdansk
S T U S T
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lechia Gdansk Pogon Szczecin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,7
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
72%
56%
Both score Ø 66%
72%
60%
Average goals
3,8
2,9
Scored
2,0
1,4
Conceded
1,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,68 xG 1,53
40% Possession 60%
15 Shots 18
7 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 10
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 9
0 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lechia Gdansk 8. · Pogon Szczecin 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Jagiellonia 25 11 8 6 +10 -1.8 41
2 Zaglebie 26 11 8 7 +10 -4.3 41
3 Lech Poznan 25 11 8 6 +6 +17.8 41
4 Gornik Zabrze 25 11 5 9 +4 -4.4 38
5 Rakow 25 11 4 10 +2 +7.7 37
6 Motor Lublin 26 9 10 7 -3 -5.6 37
7 Cracovia 26 9 9 8 +3 +3.1 36
8 Lechia Gdansk 25 10 6 9 +2 +2.8 36
9 Wisla Plock 25 9 9 7 +2 -0.4 36
10 GKS Katowice 26 11 3 12 +0 -7.0 36
11 Piast Gliwice 26 10 5 11 -1 -3.6 35
12 Pogon Szczecin 25 10 4 11 -3 +9.6 34
13 Radomiak Radom 26 8 9 9 +2 -1.2 33
14 Korona Kielce 25 9 6 10 +1 -5.4 33
15 Arka Gdynia 25 8 6 11 -16 -6.4 30
16 Legia 25 6 11 8 -1 +0.2 29
17 Widzew Lodz 25 8 4 13 -3 +4.9 28
18 Nieciecza 25 5 7 13 -15 -5.9 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lechia Gdansk Pogon Szczecin
1–0 B. Pllana
I. Zhelizko
11′
37′
P. Mukairu 1–1
F. Ulvestad
Matúš Vojtko 🟨
43′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 T. Neugebauer
A. Cirkovic
54′
62′
🔁 K. Grosicki
↦ N. Lawa
62′
🔁 K. Angielski
↦ F. Cuic
62′
🔁 J. Pozo
↦ K. Acosta
D. Kurminowski 🔁
↦ T. Wojtowicz
65′
70′
🔁 S. Greenwood
↦ M. Agger
B. Viunnyk 🔁
↦ T. Neugebauer
72′
78′
🔁 L. Koutris
↦ D. Loncar
M. Glogowski 🔁
↦ A. Cirkovic
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Lechia Gdansk

4-2-3-1
18 A. Paulsen G
2 B. Kludka D
15 M. Dyachuk D
4 B. Pllana D
27 M. Vojtko D
10 R. Kapic M
5 I. Zhelizko M
33 T. Wojtowicz M
99 T. Neugebauer M
8 A. Cirkovic M
79 K. Sezonienko F
Bench (9)
29 B. Sarnavskyi
1 S. Weirauch
23 M. Kalahur
21 M. Glogowski
90 D. Kurminowski
7 B. Viunnyk
17 A. Tsarenko
49 I. Bambecki
76 I. Mavraj

Coach: John Carver

Pogon Szczecin

4-2-3-1
77 V. Cojocaru G
22 D. Loncar D
13 D. Keramitsis D
41 A. Szalai D
4 Leo Borges D
8 F. Ulvestad M
3 K. Acosta M
25 M. Agger M
47 N. Lawa M
18 P. Mukairu M
10 F. Cuic F
Bench (10)
31 K. Kaminski
11 K. Grosicki
24 K. Angielski
32 L. Koutris
6 J. Bieganski
15 H. Ali
90 S. Greenwood
23 B. Mendy
14 J. Pozo
30 J. Czaplinski

Coach: Thomas Thomasberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Myc · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.