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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Stefanski

Lech Poznan

S U S S U

2–0

Full-time

Warta Poznan

S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Warta Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,2

1,8

Scored

2,5

1,5

Conceded

0,7

0,3

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 42%

46%

38%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

50%

27%

Both score Ø 43%

50%

35%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,4

1,2

Conceded

1,0

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%

18 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lech Poznan 3. · Warta Poznan 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	26	19	4	3	+33	61
2	Legia	26	16	7	3	+15	55
3	Lech Poznan	26	12	8	6	+11	44
4	Pogon Szczecin	27	12	8	7	+3	44
5	Warta Poznan	26	10	8	8	+7	38
6	Widzew Lodz	27	10	8	9	+1	38
7	Wisla Plock	27	10	6	11	+2	36
8	Piast Gliwice	27	10	6	11	+2	36
9	Cracovia	27	9	8	10	+3	35
10	Stal Mielec	27	9	7	11	-2	34
11	Radomiak Radom	26	9	6	11	-3	33
12	Korona Kielce	27	8	7	12	-9	31
13	Slask Wroclaw	27	7	10	10	-10	31
14	Zaglebie	27	8	7	12	-14	31
15	Jagiellonia	26	6	12	8	+1	30
16	Gornik Zabrze	27	7	8	12	-7	29
17	Lechia Gdansk	26	7	5	14	-17	26
18	Legnica	26	4	7	15	-16	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	13	12	1	0	+27	37
2	Legia	13	9	4	0	+13	31
3	Wisla Plock	14	8	3	3	+10	27
4	Cracovia	13	6	4	3	+8	22
5	Pogon Szczecin	13	6	4	3	+2	22
6	Jagiellonia	13	6	2	5	+5	20
7	Lech Poznan	13	6	2	5	+4	20
8	Korona Kielce	13	6	2	5	+1	20
9	Widzew Lodz	14	5	3	6	-1	18
10	Slask Wroclaw	14	4	6	4	-3	18
11	Stal Mielec	13	4	5	4	+2	17
12	Lechia Gdansk	13	4	4	5	-4	16
13	Warta Poznan	13	3	6	4	+1	15
14	Piast Gliwice	13	4	3	6	+0	15
15	Legnica	13	3	5	5	-4	14
16	Radomiak Radom	13	4	2	7	-4	14
17	Gornik Zabrze	14	3	5	6	-5	14
18	Zaglebie	14	2	5	7	-9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	13	6	6	1	+7	24
2	Rakow	13	7	3	3	+6	24
3	Legia	13	7	3	3	+2	24
4	Warta Poznan	13	7	2	4	+6	23
5	Pogon Szczecin	14	6	4	4	+1	22
6	Piast Gliwice	14	6	3	5	+2	21
7	Widzew Lodz	13	5	5	3	+2	20
8	Zaglebie	13	6	2	5	-5	20
9	Radomiak Radom	13	5	4	4	+1	19
10	Stal Mielec	14	5	2	7	-4	17
11	Gornik Zabrze	13	4	3	6	-2	15
12	Cracovia	14	3	4	7	-5	13
13	Slask Wroclaw	13	3	4	6	-7	13
14	Korona Kielce	14	2	5	7	-10	11
15	Jagiellonia	13	0	10	3	-4	10
16	Lechia Gdansk	13	3	1	9	-13	10
17	Wisla Plock	13	2	3	8	-8	9
18	Legnica	13	1	2	10	-12	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.