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Ekstraklasa
Referee: J Przybył
Piast Gliwice
T S S U S
1–0
Full-time
Gornik Zabrze
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Piast Gliwice Gornik Zabrze
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
This season — Ekstraklasa · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 30%
32%
28%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
28%
56%
Both score Ø 50%
44%
56%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%
17 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Piast Gliwice 11. · Gornik Zabrze 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 25 19 4 2 +35 61
2 Legia 25 15 7 3 +13 52
3 Lech Poznan 25 12 7 6 +11 43
4 Pogon Szczecin 25 11 7 7 +2 40
5 Warta Poznan 26 10 8 8 +7 38
6 Widzew Lodz 25 10 7 8 +3 37
7 Cracovia 25 9 7 9 +4 34
8 Wisla Plock 25 9 5 11 +0 32
9 Radomiak Radom 25 9 5 11 -3 32
10 Zaglebie 26 8 7 11 -12 31
11 Piast Gliwice 25 8 6 11 +0 30
12 Stal Mielec 25 8 6 11 -4 30
13 Slask Wroclaw 25 7 9 9 -9 30
14 Jagiellonia 25 6 11 8 +1 29
15 Gornik Zabrze 25 7 7 11 -6 28
16 Korona Kielce 25 7 6 12 -10 27
17 Lechia Gdansk 25 7 4 14 -17 25
18 Legnica 25 4 7 14 -15 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Piast Gliwice Gornik Zabrze
1–0 G. Tomasiewicz
12′
39′
🟨 Dani Pacheco
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Włodarczyk
↦ A. van den Hurk
46′
🔁 N. Wojtuszek
↦ R. Jensen
46′
🔁 R. Dadok
↦ B. Sekulić
64′
🔁 A. Paluszek
↦ R. Janicki
A. Sobczyk 🔁
↦ K. Wilczek
67′
M. Kaput 🔁
↦ M. Chrapek
75′
78′
🟨 Damian Rasak
78′
🔁 K. Okunuki
↦ D. Rasak
J. Holúbek 🔁
↦ Jorge Félix
81′
90′
🟨 Aleksander Paluszek
Michael Ameyaw 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Piast Gliwice

4-2-3-1
26 F. Plach G
77 A. Pyrka D
2 A. Mosór D
4 J. Czerwiński D
98 A. Katránis D
20 G. Tomasiewicz M
24 T. Hateley M
19 M. Ameyaw M
6 M. Chrapek M
7 Jorge Félix M
18 K. Wilczek F
Bench (9)
34 A. Sobczyk
28 M. Kaput
14 J. Holúbek
3 Miguel Muñoz
22 T. Mokwa
33 K. Szymański
23 S. Mucha
27 G. Kirejczyk
92 D. Kądzior

Coach: A. Vukovic

Gornik Zabrze

3-4-2-1
1 D. Bielica G
13 E. Bergström D
26 R. Janicki D
3 R. Jensen D
2 B. Sekulić M
6 D. Rasak M
7 Dani Pacheco M
64 E. Janža M
41 D. Yokota F
10 Ł. Podolski F
9 A. van den Hurk F
Bench (9)
20 S. Włodarczyk
15 N. Wojtuszek
96 R. Dadok
4 A. Paluszek
33 K. Okunuki
31 P. Sokół
5 K. Szcześniak
21 P. Krawczyk
23 J. Jules

Coach: J. Urban

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Przybył · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.