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Ekstraklasa
Referee: K Jakubik
Zaglebie
S T U U T
0–2
Full-time
Gornik Zabrze
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaglebie Gornik Zabrze
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 28%
30%
26%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
48%
52%
Both score Ø 49%
41%
56%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaglebie 15. · Gornik Zabrze 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 27 19 5 3 +33 62
2 Legia 27 16 8 3 +15 56
3 Lech Poznan 27 13 8 6 +13 47
4 Pogon Szczecin 27 12 8 7 +3 44
5 Warta Poznan 28 11 8 9 +7 41
6 Widzew Lodz 27 10 8 9 +1 38
7 Wisla Plock 27 10 6 11 +2 36
8 Piast Gliwice 27 10 6 11 +2 36
9 Cracovia 27 9 8 10 +3 35
10 Stal Mielec 27 9 7 11 -2 34
11 Radomiak Radom 27 9 7 11 -3 34
12 Jagiellonia 27 7 12 8 +2 33
13 Korona Kielce 27 8 7 12 -9 31
14 Slask Wroclaw 28 7 10 11 -12 31
15 Zaglebie 27 8 7 12 -14 31
16 Gornik Zabrze 27 7 8 12 -7 29
17 Lechia Gdansk 27 7 5 15 -18 26
18 Legnica 27 4 8 15 -16 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaglebie Gornik Zabrze
-5′
🟨 Kryspin Szczesniak
Half-time 0–1
51′
E. Bergström 0–1
E. Janža
S. Živec 🔁
↦ K. Chodyna
58′
F. Starzyński 🔁
↦ J. Świerczok
58′
M. Doležal 🔁
↦ T. Makowski
65′
A. Woźniak 🔁
↦ J. Jach
65′
74′
🔁 S. Włodarczyk
↦ P. Krawczyk
82′
🔁 B. Vrhovec
↦ D. Yokota
82′
🔁 R. Jensen
↦ E. Janža
82′
🔁 M. Cholewiak
↦ P. Olkowski
T. Gaprindashvili 🔁
↦ T. Pieńko
83′
86′
🟨 Dani Pacheco
86′
🟨 Blaž Vrhovec
88′
🟨 Szymon Włodarczyk
100′
0 Dani Pacheco 0–2
R. Jensen
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Zaglebie

3-4-1-2
87 S. Dioudis G
2 B. Kopacz D
5 A. Ławniczak D
4 J. Jach D
27 B. Kłudka M
6 T. Makowski M
20 M. Poletanović M
26 K. Chodyna M
99 Ł. Łakomy F
21 T. Pieńko F
70 J. Świerczok F
Bench (9)
7 S. Živec
18 F. Starzyński
15 M. Doležal
11 A. Woźniak
9 T. Gaprindashvili
89 K. Bieszczad
24 K. Lepczyński
14 J. Żubrowski
39 D. Bohar

Coach: W. Fornalik

Gornik Zabrze

4-1-4-1
1 D. Bielica G
2 B. Sekulić D
13 E. Bergström D
26 R. Janicki D
64 E. Janža D
6 D. Rasak M
16 P. Olkowski M
41 D. Yokota M
7 Dani Pacheco M
33 K. Okunuki M
21 P. Krawczyk F
Bench (9)
20 S. Włodarczyk
8 B. Vrhovec
3 R. Jensen
11 M. Cholewiak
4 A. Paluszek
5 K. Szcześniak
32 P. Pavlyuchenko
9 A. van den Hurk
71 A. Maroša

Coach: J. Urban

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Jakubik · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.