Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Cracovia
Piast Gliwice
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | +27 | 53 |
| 2 |
Lech Poznan
|
26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 52 |
| 3 |
Rakow
|
26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | +21 | 52 |
| 4 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | +10 | 43 |
| 5 |
Radomiak Radom
|
26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | +7 | 41 |
| 6 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | +3 | 36 |
| 7 |
Wisla Plock
|
26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | -1 | 36 |
| 8 |
Piast Gliwice
|
25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | +3 | 34 |
| 9 |
Stal Mielec
|
26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | -4 | 33 |
| 10 |
Cracovia
|
25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | -3 | 32 |
| 11 |
Legia
|
26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | -4 | 32 |
| 12 |
Warta Poznan
|
26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | -3 | 30 |
| 13 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | -4 | 30 |
| 14 |
Jagiellonia
|
26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | -11 | 30 |
| 15 |
Zaglebie
|
26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | -19 | 28 |
| 16 |
Wisla
|
26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -16 | 24 |
| 17 | Leczna | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -20 | 24 |
| 18 |
Nieciecza
|
25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -19 | 22 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Cracovia
Pogon Szczecin
Gornik Zabrze
Cracovia
Cracovia
Nieciecza
Jagiellonia
Cracovia
Cracovia
Lechia Gdansk
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.